• After one of the warmest ever starts to November, things are about to change. The forecast for the next two weeks shows a high probability of temperatures that are below normal. The long-range forecasts for weeks 3 and 4 vary, with some showing a return to warmer temperatures while others say the colder conditions will…

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  • Now that Nicole has moved out of the Southeast, most of the region will be relatively dry this week. The wettest part is likely to be Alabama and the Southern Appalachians, which will experience rain from the next precipitation-producing system that is brewing in the western Gulf. Southern Florida and most areas that received rain…

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  • The United States is not the only part of the world that has been experiencing widespread drought conditions. Europe has also seen a lot of dry conditions and hot weather this year. In Spain, the projected yield of their olive groves is just half of what they harvested last year. The year started with very…

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  • The latest Drought Monitor, released today, shows a significant increase in the area covered by severe (D2) drought, especially in Georgia and Florida. However, in spite of numerous condition monitoring reports indicating even worse conditions, the Drought Monitor (DM) this week does not show any extreme (D3) drought. With the rain that is falling tonight…

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  • Here’s a tool that you might find useful. The USDA Southwest Climate Hub has an interactive viewer that allows you to look at financial losses due to climate for every county in the United States. You can read more about it at https://www.climatehubs.usda.gov/hubs/southwest/tools/agrisk-viewer or go right to the viewer at https://swclimatehub.info/rma/rma-data-viewer.html. I encourage you to…

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  • The North Carolina State Climate Office has released a new report that summarizes their heat and ozone season for 2022. You can read it at https://climate.ncsu.edu/blog/2022/11/heat-and-air-quality-in-2022-temperatures-ozone-peaked-in-june/. It also discusses the use of wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) for assessing athlete health and potential heat injury possibility.

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  • Tonight Nicole became a hurricane as it crossed the warm water of the Gulf Stream. It is expected to stay as a hurricane as it makes landfall late tonight or early tomorrow and heads northwest over Florida. If you read this in the morning digest, it will probably already be well onshore. Then it will…

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