El Nino and La Nina
-
Today NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center announced that El Niño is here and is expected to get stronger over the next few months. It is expected to last into at least spring 2024, which is as far ahead as the predictions show in their graphics. The ocean temperatures have been in place for a while already, […]
-
Earlier this month the Washington Post published an article describing the economic costs of El Nino based on research published in Science magazine. The research showed that the most recent strong El Ninos cost the global economy on the order of $4 trillion in losses to agriculture and other sectors of the economy. Since we […]
-
The latest ENSO outlook was released today by NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center. It shows that ENSO is likely to turn to El Nino in the May through July period and to persist through the winter. While there is still some uncertainty because of the spring predictability barrier, the forecasts show an 80 percent chance of […]
Posted in: El Nino and La Nina -
While we had an early start to the growing season, it was followed by colder conditions in March that slowed things down quite a bit. Since that time, we have seen periods of very warm weather alternating with much cooler conditions. I know it’s been frustrating for farmers as soil temperatures rise and fall, making […]
-
Yesterday I posted a story about how quickly the next El Nino seems to be coming on. It looks from computer predictions that it is likely to be a moderate to strong one, so its impacts are more predictable than in a weak El Nino. Still, every one is unique and the impacts across the […]
-
The latest ENSO discussion was released by NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center today. It indicates that our neutral conditions are already swinging towards the next El Nino and that it may be present as soon as the May through July period. We need to keep in mind that spring forecasts are generally less accurate than forecasts […]
-
UPDATE: Summary and video are found here. Each month I participate along with several others in the Southeast Climate Monthly Webinar, which features an update on climate conditions around the region along with an outlook for the future conditions or another topic of special interest. This week Tuesday March 28 I am especially looking forward […]