El Nino and La Nina
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In the week I have received several questions about why this winter, which was predicted to be warmer and drier than usual, has been so cold. Here is a response I wrote to Bob Kemerait, UGA, about this winter’s crazy weather and the lack of warm weather (so far). You might find it helpful too.…
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After a long wait, La Nina was finally declared this week as the ocean temperatures in the Eastern Pacific Ocean finally dropped below the official threshold for a La Nina. As we discussed earlier, it is expected to be a weak one and may only last for a few months before we go back to…
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NOAA released their latest monthly ENSO outlook earlier this week, and it shows almost no change in the likelihood of a La Nina from last month’s prediction. They expect a weak La Nina to occur any time now and to last for a few months before returning to neutral conditions. The sea surface temperatures in…
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In the Southeast, El Nino and La Nina affect our local climate, which can influence the yield and condition of crops in our region. But El Nino and La Nina also affect climate in other parts of the world, and using knowledge of what state the El Nino Southern Oscillation is in can be used…
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The latest ENSO forecast, released today, shows that La Nina is still expected to be officially declared soon but the likelihood has gone down a bit because it is taking so long to develop. When (or if) it does occur, it is likely to be a weak and short-lived one. The strongest impacts in a…
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According to the latest Climate Prediction Center alert on October 10, La Niña is favored to emerge in September-November (60% chance) and is expected to persist through January-March 2025. The upcoming La Nina is expected to be weak and short based on computer forecasts, this means that the strongest impacts are likely to occur in…
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If you have been following the ENSO forecasts, you already know that we were in an El Nino last winter and that we are currently in neutral conditions headed for a La Nina later this year. NOAA released their latest monthly and seasonal forecasts today, and they show the very typical pattern of temperature and…