Today NOAA released their latest seasonal outlook for temperature and precipitation covering the February through April 2023 period. It shows the continued influence of La Nina in southern parts of the region, while northern areas do not show a trend. Temperatures are more likely than not to continue to be…
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The latest ENSO outlook from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center was released this week. They are now predicting that the current lengthy La Niña is likely to end by early spring and move through a neutral period in late spring and early summer before transitioning to El Niño later in summer…
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The latest ENSO update, released late last week, shows that while La Nina is still present in the Eastern Pacific Ocean, a transition to neutral conditions is likely in early 2023, with equal chances for La Nina and neutral conditions by January through March and a 73% chance of neutral…
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Earlier this month, Weather Underground offered a good look at the two previous times that La Nina occurred three years in a row and how it affected climate. As their analysis shows, temperature was less similar than precipitation, so if this holds, you are more likely to see a dry…
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The latest ENSO advisory, released on October 13 by NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, shows that La Nina continues to be firmly in place. It is likely to continue through the winter and into spring before ENSO returns to neutral conditions. You can read more at https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.shtml.
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NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center issued their latest ENSO outlook today. It shows that there is a 91% chance that the current La Nina will last through fall, and a 54% chance that it will last through March 2023. Typically, a La Nina winter in the Southeast means an increased likelihood…
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The latest El Nino discussion was released today. It shows that there is a strong likelihood that La Nina will continue through 2022, with a return to neutral conditions likely by spring. You can read more at their summary page. That means that even though the tropics are quiet now,…
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