With the recent declaration of a La Niña, producers are looking for advice about what to plan for in the coming months. Here is a good story from Southeast Farm Press describing some of the considerations that farmers should keep in mind now that we know a La Niña is…
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As expected, today NOAA issued a La Niña Advisory, indicating that La Niña conditions have developed and are expected to continue with an 87% chance of La Niña in December 2021- February 2022. We’ve been expecting this for a while, but it takes several months after signs start to appear…
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Most of you know that El Nino and La Nina, collectively called the El Nino Southern Oscillation or ENSO, are arguably the biggest drivers of climate variability in the Southeast. So climate scientists are very interested in how ENSO might change as the climate gets warmer. Here is a recent…
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According to NOAA’s latest ENSO post, we are on the verge of going back into a La Nina, with a 70-80 percent chance of occurrence over the winter. All of the conditions are ripe for us to cross the magic threshold of ocean temperatures more than 1/2 degree C below…
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As you know if you read this blog, the chance of going back into a La Nina later this year from our present neutral conditions is very high. Last year was also a La Nina winter, and while we expected it to be warmer than normal based on long-term statistics,…
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In this blog I tend to focus on the relationship between the phase of ENSO (El Nino or La Nina or neutral) and what climate conditions are likely to happen here in the Southeast as well as how those conditions will affect our crops. But ENSO actually affects weather across…
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We are in neutral conditions now, but this week NOAA forecasters issued a La Niña Watch, indicating that they think La Niña will likely return in the September through November period and last through next winter. Although El Niños seldom last for more than one winter, it is not at…
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