The latest ENSO update from NOAA shows that neutral conditions are occurring in the eastern Pacific Ocean right now and are expected to continue for the next few months. When there is no El Niño or La Niña occurring, it is harder to make a useful prediction about what is…
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This week NOAA declared that the weak El Niño of 2019 is now officially over based on objective measurements in the Eastern Pacific Ocean. We are now considered to be in neutral conditions. NOAA expects this to continue for the next few months, with lower chances of El Niño recurring…
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In a sharp change from last month’s El Niño outlook, the latest forecast from IRI now shows that they expect the current weak El Niño to end within the next couple of months. Last month’s forecast predicted it would last through most of the summer and perhaps into next fall….
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NOAA’s latest discussion on the status of El Niño is now available at their El Niño blog at https://www.climate.gov/news-features/blogs/enso/june-2019-enso-blog-update-concentrate-and-ask-again. You can read it to get more information on what is affecting the current status and where we expect it to go from here.
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The latest edition of the El Niño outlook was published this week. It shows that El Niño is well entrenched in the central Pacific, with cooler conditions in the eastern Pacific due a temporary Kelvin wave. Virtually every statistical and dynamical model predicts that this El Niño will continue for…
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NOAA’s latest El Niño update shows that El Niño is still present in the eastern Pacific Ocean, although its strength has waned somewhat. The latest set of prediction graphs from IRI show that it is expected to continue for most of the next year, with only a few models suggesting…
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Of all of the atmospheric patterns that affect us here in the Southeast, the one that makes the most statistically predictable impacts on our climate is the El Niño-Southern Oscillation. When an El Niño is forecast to occur, we know with a fair degree of confidence what kind of climate…
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