The El Nino-Southern Oscillation, or ENSO, is the single most important predictor of seasonal climate in the Southeast, so we tend to watch it fairly closely to see if it can give us clues to future conditions. But researchers have found that a shift in ENSO patterns has reduced our…
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Here’s a good article that explains what last frost probabilities are and how they relate to planting dates, from the Garden Professors blog. It also explains the difference between a frost and a freeze. If you find this topic confusing, you might find the explanations to be useful. You can…
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I posted the link to this summary a few days ago but think it is worth posting here in full. Even though it was written for North Carolina, the general information (not the exact numbers, but reasonably close) is correct for everywhere in the Southeast. If you would like to…
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Before the advent of modern weather forecasting using computer models, meteorologists often used analogs to find similar weather in previous years and use that to predict how the weather would change. A modern take on that is to use machine learning with big data to identify patterns in weather that…
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The North Carolina Climate Science Report is a scientific assessment of historical climate trends and potential future climate change in North Carolina under increased greenhouse gas concentrations. It was published today and is available online at https://ncics.org/programs/nccsr/ . You can also read a plain language summary at http://climate.ncsu.edu/climateblog?id=312&h=5666e5c1 . Even…
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Project Drawdown looks for practical solutions to the potential impacts of climate change around the world. They have recently released a report which describes some of these solutions. If you are interested in seeing what they recommend, you can read more about the report at Science Alert here or download…
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In the Southeast, changes in land use from bare ground croplands to forests are thought to be one of the contributing factors to the cooling that Georgia and other Southeastern states saw in the period from roughly the 1940’s to the 1970’s. Now a similar land use change in western…
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