Climate outlooks

  • As we enter December, here is an update on the outlook for winter and spring climate conditions in the Southeast. We are currently in a weak to moderate La Niña, and that is likely to determine the overall climate conditions for the Southeast in the coming months. According to NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, there is…

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  • The latest monthly forecast for the climate of July 2025 shows that warmer and wetter than normal conditions are still expected to continue through the month. The only part of the region with equal chances of near, below, or above normal precipitation is the Florida Peninsula and the East Coast as far north as the…

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  • The latest 7-day QPF map shows that the heaviest rain this week will stay off the coast in the northeastern Gulf of Mexico, but areas that border that, especially southern AL, the Florida Panhandle, and the west coast of Florida, could all see a lot of rain over the next week, with frequent showers occurring.…

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  • We have been in a fairly wet pattern for the last few weeks, although with hit or miss convective rain a few spots always get hit hard while others get missed. This pattern is shifting this weekend to one where a dome of high pressure is located across the eastern United States extending down into…

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  • NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center released their updated monthly and seasonal climate outlooks earlier this week. They show that the July-September period is expected to be warmer than usual although July alone has equal chances of near, above, and below normal temperature in spite of the end of June being very hot. The same periods are…

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  • We’ve been in a rainy pattern for the last couple of weeks, as discussed in a different post today. Since the rain has been very convective in nature with a lot of heavy downpours and thunderstorms and some strong winds in places, the rainfall has been very hit or miss. Some places have received a…

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  • The latest 7-day QPF map shows that everywhere in the region should get some rain this week. However, northern South Carolina and central North Carolina are likely to see the least, with expected amounts of less than half an inch. Other areas could see quite a bit more, and this will help to further reduce…

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  • The updated outlook for June 2025 was released late last week. It shows that across the region, temperatures are expected to be warmer than average and precipitation is expected to be wetter than average. This should reduce the drought in remaining areas of the region and in particular, in the Florida peninsula.

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