Climate outlooks

  • As we enter December, here is an update on the outlook for winter and spring climate conditions in the Southeast. We are currently in a weak to moderate La Niña, and that is likely to determine the overall climate conditions for the Southeast in the coming months. According to NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, there is…

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  • The latest 7-day QPF map shows that several storms are expected to impact the Southeast over the next week as a few shortwaves move along a front located in the northern part of the region will bring pulses of rain to northern Alabama and Georgia as well as the western Carolinas and most of Tennessee.…

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  • The latest 7 day QPF map shows that the southern half of the region is not expected to get any rain in the next week. Northern portions will be dry this weekend but might pick up some showers midweek or later as a storm moves through the Ohio River Valley, bringing rain to that region.…

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  • The latest 7-day QPF map shows that most of the rain this week will fall in western parts of the region, especially Alabama and western Florida and Georgia. Some rain will fall Sunday night through Monday and a second storm will affect the western parts of the region late in the week. Warmer temperatures mean…

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  • Here we go!

    On Tuesday we can expect to see the next potent winter storm move through the southern part of the region, starting in Alabama earlier on Tuesday but expanding rapidly eastward over the afternoon and evening of Tuesday. Most of Georgia and coastal SC and NC can expect to see wintry precipitation by Tuesday afternoon or…

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  • Many of you are watching the developing story about the winter storm that is expected to affect parts of the Southeast this coming week, especially Tuesday and Wednesday. While the situation is still evolving and will continue to change over time, the models are coming into more agreement on when and where the storm is…

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  • Confidence is high that next week is going to be very cold across most of the region. Temperatures are likely to drop below freezing in nearly all of the region other than southern Florida and Puerto Rico several mornings from Monday through Thursday (depending on location and the final strength of the storm) and some…

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  • Once again, ominous maps of heavy snow bands across parts of the Southeast are starting to appear on social media. I am already getting questions about these snow maps just like we did with the last big storm. This is a good reminder that you should never trust a snow map more than a couple…

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