Climate outlooks
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As we enter December, here is an update on the outlook for winter and spring climate conditions in the Southeast. We are currently in a weak to moderate La Niña, and that is likely to determine the overall climate conditions for the Southeast in the coming months. According to NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, there is…
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The latest outlook from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center shows that the moderate El Nino that is currently underway is having an impact on the predicted late fall climate patterns especially in precipitation. The temperature outlook is a compromise between cooler than normal conditions we would expect from El Nino and warmer than normal conditions expected…
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Tropical Storm Ophelia formed over the last few days and made landfall along the coast of NC this morning. It is moving north and bringing windy conditions and heavy rain to a lot of eastern North Carolina and Virginia. It will be moving out to the northeast over the next couple of days before it…
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The latest El Nino outlook, issued last week, shows that we are currently in an El Nino and that it is likely to continue through spring before transitioning to neutral conditions. The forecasts give it a 71% chance of being a strong El Nino, but that does not necessarily translate to strong impacts. Having said…
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The latest 7-day rainfall forecast shows that most of the region will receive scattered showers and thunderstorms for the first few days of the week with dry conditions returning late in the week. Alabama is expected to be dry all week, while areas in the Southern Appalachians and in Florida are most likely to see…
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After the excitement of Hurricane Idalia this past week, we can look forward to a much quieter week ahead. This weekend will be nearly perfect, with cooler temperatures and less humidity, before both start to rise again during the week. There is no rain at all expected for most of the region for the next…
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The latest outlook for September 2023 was released today. It shows that September is leaning towards warmer than normal temperatures, a continuation of the long-term rising temperature trend. It is more likely to be hotter than normal in the center of the US, though, as another strong high sets up there. There is no signal…
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The amount and timing of rain we get this week depends largely on the track and speed of likely Tropical Storm Idalia, which is gathering strength today near the Yucutan Peninsula and the west coast of Cuba. It is not yet a tropical storm but is expected to be declared one in the next day…