Climate outlooks

  • As we enter December, here is an update on the outlook for winter and spring climate conditions in the Southeast. We are currently in a weak to moderate La Niña, and that is likely to determine the overall climate conditions for the Southeast in the coming months. According to NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, there is…

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  • The latest 7-day QPF map shows that most of the Southeast is expected to get very little rain in the next week due to the presence of a strong high pressure center across northern parts of the area. This high pressure is also going to bring very hot conditions to the region, especially in northern…

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  • The latest 7-day QPF map shows that while most of the region will be relatively dry, the Florida Peninsula could see multiple inches of rain this week due to a change in the weather pattern that will allow warm moist air to move across the Peninsula starting later this weekend. The National Hurricane Center is…

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  • In summer months I typically write a monthly outlook for our Georgia cotton and peanut growers. Here is the latest edition for June 2024. It may be generally useful for folks across the Southeast although it is directed towards those in Georgia. Welcome to summer! Climatologists designate the months of June, July, and August as…

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  • The final outlook for the June 2024 climate was issued late last week by NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center. It shows that a lot of the region does not have a strong climate signal for June, but Florida and southern Alabama lean towards warmer than normal conditions and Alabama is more likely than the rest of…

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  • The latest 7-day QPF map shows that most of the region should see their wettest conditions midweek, although amounts will not be large. In South Florida, the rain will be the heaviest over the next three days and showers should taper off later in the week. The area of central Florida with the worst drought…

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  • The latest 7-day QPF map shows that most areas of the region should receive less than a half-inch of rain. The heaviest rain is likely to fall in southern Florida which could improve drought conditions there. In the rest of the region, most of the rain will fall in the next couple of days with…

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  • NOAA released their seasonal forecast for the Atlantic tropical season today. As expected, it shows that a very active season is expected, with 17 to 25 named storms expected and 8-13 hurricanes likely. This matches the forecast by Colorado State issued a few weeks ago. You can read the NOAA press release at https://www.noaa.gov/news-release/noaa-predicts-above-normal-2024-atlantic-hurricane-season. Hurricane…

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