Climate outlooks
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As we enter December, here is an update on the outlook for winter and spring climate conditions in the Southeast. We are currently in a weak to moderate La Niña, and that is likely to determine the overall climate conditions for the Southeast in the coming months. According to NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, there is…
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We’ve been watching the long-range forecasts for colder weather for a while now, and it looks like there is a good chance of frost and freezing weather for the next three days, with the coldest weather occurring on the morning of Tuesday, March 19. Freezing weather occurs when the temperature drops below 32 F and…
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The latest 7-day QPF map shows that most of the rain in the region this week will be near the Gulf or East Coast (including all of Florida). There will be a dry spell in the middle of the week before the next storm approaches. There is a chance of frost or freezing weather on…
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NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center issued their latest ENSO advisory today. It shows that while there is still a strong El Nino present in the ocean, it is rapidly decaying and the models now suggest that it will be back in neutral conditions by the April through June period (83% chance). A swing to La Nina…
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Once the current storm system moves out of the region, it should be relatively dry until late in the week, when the next system moves in. It looks like it will be another wet one and Alabama could see several inches by Saturday night, with the rest of the region experiencing the rain following after…
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NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center issued an updated outlook for March 2024 at the end of the month. It shows that for a lot of the Southeast a continuation of the wetter and warmer conditions is likely. We are already starting out with a very wet first week, with some areas expecting 5 inches or more,…
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The latest 7-day QPF map shows that most of the Southeast can expect to get rain throughout the week, resulting in some areas with 5 or more inches. Florida and a few parts of western Virginia are the only exceptions with amounts closer to an inch. There is an active system in the Gulf now…
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Cross-posted from The Garden Professors blog (https://gardenprofessors.com/) In this blog I’ve talked several times about El Niño and La Niña and how they affect climate across the Northern Hemisphere as well as their impacts on the rest of the world. We are currently in a strong El Niño with sea surface temperatures in the Eastern…