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While an El Niño has not yet been officially declared, the telltale water temperatures and wind patterns that are associated with an El Niño are all in place and I expect an official move from an El Niño Watch to an Advisory in the near future. The forecasts for this…
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The latest 7 day QPF map shows that after a cool and dry weekend, rain will return to most of the Southeast by Monday evening as a Gulf low forms near Louisiana and races to the northeast, bringing up to several inches of rain over parts of the region by…
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If you follow this blog, you know we’ve been expecting the onset of an El Niño sometime this fall. So far, it hasn’t quite happened. This article from NOAA gives an update on the current status of the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and how likely the El Niño is….
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UPDATE: As of Friday November 9, it now looks like most of Florida and the coastal plains of Georgia, South and North Carolina will probably be spared a frost during this cold air outbreak, although scattered areas could still see something. Follow your local National Weather Service forecast for the…
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The latest monthly and 3-month outlooks for the US show that in November the forecast from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center leans toward warmer and wetter conditions than normal, particularly in the coastal areas of the Southeast. For the November through January period, the influence of the developing El Niño is…
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The latest 7 day QPF map shows that Florida is expected to see scant rain in the next week. The coastal plains of Alabama, Georgia, and the Carolinas are expected to see half an inch or less, so abnormally dry conditions should continue there. Coastal waters and the higher elevations…
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The next three days should be dry for nearly all of the Southeast, with rain chances ramping up after that. There should be enough rain to put a dent in the dry areas of Alabama, but with less than an inch expected in most of Georgia, the moderate drought currently…
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