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The latest monthly and seasonal outlooks for the US were released earlier this week. They show that for both August and the August through October period, temperature likelihood leans towards warmer than normal conditions, but precipitation shows equal chances of near, below and above normal. The remaining drought in the…
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In a sharp change from last month’s El Niño outlook, the latest forecast from IRI now shows that they expect the current weak El Niño to end within the next couple of months. Last month’s forecast predicted it would last through most of the summer and perhaps into next fall….
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The latest 7-day QPF forecast shows that most of the rain in the eastern US this week is linked to current TS Barry (which could briefly become a hurricane as it makes landfall later today). Subsiding air around Barry’s circulation should keep most of the Southeast dry as it passes…
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The Atlantic has been pretty quiet so far this tropical season, but that may be about to change. A low pressure center now located along the border of Georgia and Tennessee is expected to slowly drift south over the eastern Gulf of Mexico in the next few days. The warm…
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The latest 7-day QPF map shows that the heaviest rain this week is expected to be in Florida and along the coastal plains of the East Coast, with up to several inches expected in some areas. Since those areas have been the driest of the region, that may reduce the…
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The latest forecasts for July and beyond came out over the weekend. They show that all of Georgia is expected to be warmer than normal in temperature for the month of July. This trend is expected to continue through fall. Most of the trend is due to the long-term increases…
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The latest 7-day QPF forecast shows that most parts of the Southeast should see only light amounts of rain this week, which should not cause significant changes in the Drought Monitor. The exceptions are southern Florida and eastern North Carolina and Virginia, which could see over an inch. The longer…
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