Tropical weather

  • Today Tropical Depression Fred’s predicted path was shifted westward and slowed down to bring more rain to Alabama and northern Georgia and less to the East Coast (unless it changes again). It is likely to regain tropical storm strength over the Gulf, although it should rapidly weaken again once it makes landfall on Monday. All…

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  • Tropical Storm (and now Depression) Fred got its feet cut out from under it by the mountains of Hispaniola today and became very disorganized. The National Hurricane Center is predicting that it will gain sufficient strength over the Gulf to regain its strength as a weak tropical storm and move north to the west of…

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  • It took all day, but at 11 pm the National Hurricane Center declared the potential TS 6 has organized into a tropical storm named Fred. TS Fred is expected to continue on its predicted path along the arc of islands and then into the Gulf of Mexico. Fred is likely to have quite a bit…

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  • As of 11 pm tonight, Potential Tropical Storm 6 (soon to be known as Fred) is moving west into the Caribbean and then NW towards the Florida peninsula. Of course, since it is not even a named storm yet, there is a lot of uncertainty about where this storm will go and how strong it…

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  • The latest 5-day tropical outlook for the Atlantic tonight shows two areas of interest. The closer one may track over or near Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, and Cuba before approaching the US mainland, most likely as a weak storm. The farther one is less organized and who knows where it will go. There is also another…

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  • NOAA released their updated outlook for the Atlantic hurricane season today. It shows that there is a 65% chance of an above-normal number of storms this season and only a 10% chance it will be less than normal. Considering how many storms we have already had (5), this is not a surprise. NOAA predicts 15-21…

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  • After a couple of hot days, the beginning of August is expected to be cooler and wetter than normal, especially across the southern half of Georgia, as a nearly stationary front is expected to sit over the area for a lot of the week. This means lower temperatures, especially during the day, less solar radiation,…

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