A small area of non-tropical low pressure in the northern Gulf of Mexico is drifting north over warm water and has a small (10%) chance of becoming a named tropical storm before it makes landfall sometime on Sunday night or Monday. The center of circulation is likely to move northeast once it comes onshore, bringing heavy rain and potentially a few small tornadoes to areas along and to the right of the path, which includes a good part of Alabama, Georgia, and Florida. Rain is expected to continue through the region for much of the week. We can use the rain but don’t need the winds. In the unlikely event it would become a named storm, it would be called Alex.