Climate outlooks

  • The latest 7-day QPF map shows that most areas within the region should receive some rain this week. In most cases, they are predicting 0.5 to 1.5 inches. Slightly heavier amounts in eastern North Carolina and along the coast with the possible spin-up of a low along the old stationary front that could enhance the…

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  • The latest El Nino discussion was released today. It shows that there is a strong likelihood that La Nina will continue through 2022, with a return to neutral conditions likely by spring. You can read more at their summary page. That means that even though the tropics are quiet now, we expect them to ramp…

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  • The latest 7-day QPF map shows that most areas of the Southeast should see decent rains this week, mostly in the form of scattered thunderstorms. The wettest area is likely to be the Florida Panhandle and Gulf Coast of Alabama, with wet conditions also off the East Coast of North Carolina. The driest areas are…

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  • Earlier this week NOAA came out with their revised forecast for the number of tropical storms and hurricanes expected in the Atlantic Ocean this season. Even though it has been relatively quiet, that is expected to change in the next couple of week and NOAA is still expecting an above average number of named storms.…

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  • Note: While this outlook is primarily for Georgia, it should hold true for most of the southern part of our region as well. The temperature in July was generally slightly cooler than normal, with daytime temperatures below normal (from clouds) and overnight temperatures warmer than normal due to the abundant humidity we have experienced this…

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  • The latest 7-day QPF map shows that the heaviest rain for the next few days is likely to be along a front that is draped through Kentucky and Tennessee and east into North Carolina. Unfortunately, that means that those areas could see more floods as moisture continues to flow into the area. Most of the…

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  • Here is a very detailed discussion of the current status of La Nina, what we expect in the next few months, and how it will affect the coming winter of 2022-2023 in the United States and Europe, from Severe Weather Europe. No big surprises, but a more deep dive into all of the nuances of…

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