Climate outlooks
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This past week, hurricane forecasters at Colorado State University released their preliminary forecast for the number of tropical storms and hurricanes expected to form in the Atlantic basin this season. They predict a total of 13 tropical storms will form, of which six will become hurricanes. A tropical storm becomes a hurricane when its sustained…
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The latest 7-day QPF map shows that relatively light rainfall will cover most of the region in the next week in advance of the next big storm to move through. There will be some showers in the next few days followed by dry conditions mid-week. Rain will start to move into the region by late…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
The latest ENSO discussion was released by NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center today. It indicates that our neutral conditions are already swinging towards the next El Nino and that it may be present as soon as the May through July period. We need to keep in mind that spring forecasts are generally less accurate than forecasts…
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What a miserable day Saturday was for a large part of the region! It rained all day in Athens starting just after my CoCoRaHS observation at 7 am, and they finally called off the Masters Tournament in Augusta shortly after 3 pm after a sodden end to the second round and start of the 3rd…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
The latest monthly climate outlook was released by NOAA earlier this week. It shows that the region is expected to be warmer than normal. Northern AL and the mountains are also slightly leaning towards wetter than normal conditions based on the current weather pattern. The drought in and near Florida is expected to persist and…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
The latest 7-day QPF map shows a continuation of the pattern that we have seen quite often during the winter, with the heaviest rain falling in northern AL and GA and the Southern Appalachians and stretching off to the northeast and drier conditions in Florida and southern AL and GA. Once the front that is…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
UPDATE: Summary and video are found here. Each month I participate along with several others in the Southeast Climate Monthly Webinar, which features an update on climate conditions around the region along with an outlook for the future conditions or another topic of special interest. This week Tuesday March 28 I am especially looking forward…