Climate outlooks
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As of Tuesday evening, the National Hurricane Center has identified a broad and disorganized area of tropical activity in the western Gulf of Mexico that they say has a 50-50 chance of developing into a tropical storm in the next two days. If it does happen, it will be somewhere along the northern Gulf Coast…
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The latest 7-day QPF map shows relatively light rainfall across most of the Southeast this week. The highest rainfall amounts will be in southern Florida and northwestern Alabama. But there is a big mass of disorganized convection in the Caribbean that could form a tropical depression within 5 days, and that has the potential to…
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NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center produced their latest monthly outlook today for September 2021. It shows that a band of wet conditions is likely for a lot of the region but especially in Virginia and North Carolina. The temperature outlook only shows a slight trend towards cooler temperatures along part of the area with the most…
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Hurricane Ida is currently strengthening in the Gulf of Mexico. It is expected to come onshore in Louisiana on Sunday or Monday as a major hurricane and will cause catastrophic damage to eastern LA with winds of up to 140 mph and storm surge up to 11 feet in some locations. It will also bring…
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This week a slow-moving front will increase the chances of rain this weekend, although they will be spotty. After the front moves through, we should be back to the regular routine of a chance of thunderstorms each afternoon, although chances will decrease later in the week. The East Coast will see the most rain, but…
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NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center released their latest monthly and seasonal outlooks today. They show no strong signal in temperature in September but a tilt towards wetter than normal conditions in the northern parts of the region. For the fall months of September through November, all of the region except for Alabama is leaning towards warmer…
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The tropics are the stars of this week’s rain forecast. TD Fred is expected to bring a lot of rain to Florida early this week, and then the focus mid-week will shift to northern GA and parts of the Carolinas and perhaps Virginia. The amount and timing of the rain depends tremendously on where the…
Posted in: Climate outlooks