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Over the course of the day today, the messy tropical blob of convection that is expected to become Tropical Storm and perhaps Hurricane Imelda went from being Investigation 94 to a Potential Tropical Cyclone to Tropical Depression 9 earlier today. That indicates the hurricane hunters found an area with a closed low pressure that indicated…
Posted in: Tropical weather - 

The latest 7-day rainfall map that is shown below from the Weather Prediction Center shows the amount of rain that is expected over the next week. By far the most rain is likely to come from what will soon be Tropical Storm Imelda, which is gathering strength in the Southern Bahamas and headed towards the…
Posted in: Climate outlooks - 

The Southeast has been very dry the past few weeks and drought has increased across the region. I have heard of numerous livestock producers having to feed hay because the pastures have dried up. This is especially bad this time of year because the farmers were hoping to get one last hay cutting to help…
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At 5 pm EDT today, Investigation 94 officially became Potential Tropical Cyclone 9, indicating that we are getting close enough to a named storm for the National Hurricane Center to start issuing advisories, a forecast cone, and the expected wind field for the storm. It is organizing north of Hispanola and Cuba now and should…
Posted in: Tropical weather - 

While I don’t chase tornadoes or hurricanes myself, I am still fascinated by people who do, especially those who do it responsibly. This article from hurricane chaser Josh Morgerman describes things you should and should not do if you are in the center of a hurricane, whether you went there deliberately or were living in…
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Even though it still feels like summer here in the Southeast, I am starting to see subtle signs of fall in the dropping of leaves from my tulip poplar and colored maples along one of the roads I drive from time to time. I have seen stories of snow down to 10,000 feet in the…
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The latest computer models that are trying to predict the development and track of likely Tropical Storm Imelda are showing a track that may bring Imelda and its rains to parts of the East Coast this weekend and early next week. Since the center of development has not consolidated yet, the forecasts are still very…
Posted in: Tropical weather