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NOAA released their 3-month outlooks for May through July this week, covering the first part of summer. They show that while temperatures are continuing to be likely warmer than normal due to rising temperatures, the chances for normal or wetter than normal conditions are now higher than they have been for quite a while, which…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
You might have noticed that the number of wildfires in the Southeast has been creeping up as drought conditions become worse and more widespread. We have seen this in previous droughts, so it is no surprise. This article by Seth Borenstein in The Independent talks about how warmer overnight temperatures and changes in humidity are…
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The latest Drought Monitor, released this morning, shows that the entire region is now covered by abnormally dry conditions or drought. Significant parts of Alabama, Tennessee, and South Carolina have gotten worse while smaller areas of other states had increases in their areas of different drought categories. The only improvements seen in this map occurred…
Posted in: Drought -
The State Climate Office of North Carolina is hosting a webinar this coming Thursday to discuss the latest information about the drought that is affecting the Southeast. While it will focus on North Carolina, I expect that the general information about how the drought began and how it is evolving will be of interest to…
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Hurricane seasonal forecasts usually provide an estimate of the number of storms that you can expect in a given season. This year, with an El Nino expected to develop rapidly over the next few months, could be a rare year when the El Nino warming in the Eastern Pacific Ocean is especially strong, leading to…
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NOAA will be offering a series of five hurricane awareness webinars starting April 29, 2026, and going through May on several topics of interest to the Southeast. The first webinar will be a review of the 2025 season, which did not have much impact on the Southeast other than TS Chantelle but had a big…
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The latest 7-day QPF map shows conditions that will be as dry as a bone for the next week for the vast majority of the Southeast. Just a few areas show any rain at all and only western Tennessee has a chance of getting anything really substantial. What is worse is that if you look…