• A recent study led by scientists at the University of Miami Rosenstiel School of Marine, Atmospheric, and Earth Science and the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) reveals how a major global climate pattern influences the African weather systems that help seed Atlantic hurricanes. This study was initiated as an undergraduate project by a student who…

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  • The National Hurricane Center’s latest map shows an area with a 60% chance of development in the next seven days. This is based on a wave that has just come off of Africa, probably one of the last ones we will see this season. Late in the season in the Atlantic basin, most storms develop…

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  • The latest Drought Monitor, released today, shows that drought has gotten worse in many parts of the region, including northern Florida, all of Alabama and Georgia, and the Carolinas. Drought conditions have been reduced in eastern Virginia and central Tennessee, which experienced more rain in the past week than other states. Southern Florida is also…

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  • The latest 7-day tropical outlook shows two areas of potential interest. The first is an area over the Florida Peninsula which has just a 10 percent chance of developing in the next week. This area is mostly expected to bring rain to the East Coast of Florida with lesser amounts on the West Coat and…

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  • The latest monthly summary shows that while temperatures in the region were mostly cooler than normal, the lack of precipitation was quite noticeable in most of the region. I was surprised by how cool it was in some places, particularly because there was not a lot of rain and associated clouds to keep the temperatures…

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  • It’s been an exciting day for the tropics. At 2 pm today Tropical Depression 9 became Tropical Storm Imelda as expected when the wind speed increased to tropical storm force. It is still headed north parallel to the Florida coast and is expected to continue to move in that direction for the next day. At…

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  • Over the course of the day today, the messy tropical blob of convection that is expected to become Tropical Storm and perhaps Hurricane Imelda went from being Investigation 94 to a Potential Tropical Cyclone to Tropical Depression 9 earlier today. That indicates the hurricane hunters found an area with a closed low pressure that indicated…

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