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The latest track of Tropical Storm Nestor just came out at 11 pm EDT, and shows that the center of Nestor is likely to make landfall early tomorrow morning, just two or three hours after my blog digest comes out. Nestor is a lopsided storm, so a lot of the rain will be out ahead…
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Measurements of sea level across the world show rising waters along most ocean coastlines, including the United States. But according to a story by WRLN in Miami, the regular forecasts for high and low tide do not take that rising water into account yet, leading to bigger errors in tide forecasts than would normally be…
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NOAA released their latest monthly and 3-month outlooks for the climate earlier this week. They show a continued trend towards warmer than normal temperatures for both November and the November through January periods across the region. This is based on long-term temperature trends towards warmer temperatures since the 1960’s, although there is still a lot…
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Another tropical disturbance is headed towards Georgia. This storm, which is likely to become TS Nestor in the next day, is predicted to develop in the western Gulf of Mexico and move towards the northeast. Some high clouds from the storm are already visible on satellite over SW Georgia. At this time the forecast models…
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The latest Drought Monitor, released this morning, shows an expansion of all categories of drought in every Southeastern state during the last week. It is important to keep in mind that the cutoff for data for this map was Tuesday morning, before most of the rain fell in southern and central Georgia and surrounding areas,…
Posted in: Drought -
The rain that we have had this week has helped improve soil moisture across the region (at least for those areas that had the rain) and should halt the expansion of drought in those areas in the Drought Monitor. Since the cut-off time for the DM was Tuesday morning, this week’s DM (coming out tomorrow…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
The latest global climate summary for September 2019 was released today. It shows that September 2019 tied for the warmest September since records began in 1880. For the year to date, this year is second only to 2016 in warmth. You can read more details at https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/news/global-climate-201909.
Posted in: Climate summaries