Climate outlooks

  • Recent observations of the eastern Pacific Ocean show that the expected El Nino has not developed as predicted and that even though the ocean temperatures are showing warming, the atmosphere has not followed suit, leading to mediocre El Nino signals.  This makes it more likely that if El Nino develops (as is still expected), it…

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  • After the quick passage of TS Arthur along the East Coast, the Southeast has been relatively dry and less humid than usual.  The beginning of this week should be fairly dry across the state, although isolated showers could occur, especially in the south and along the coasts.  Humidity will rise as the week progresses.  The…

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  • The Independence Day weekend looks good for most of the Southeast, with the exception of coastal SC and eastern NC, which are feeling the brunt of Arthur, which became a hurricane earlier this morning.  Rainfall amounts away from the storm are expected to be light and scattered and winds will also be light. The impacts…

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  • In the last day or so the area of tropical disturbance that meteorologists were watching has developed into Tropical Storm Arthur, the first tropical storm of the 2014 season.  Arthur is expected to start moving towards the northeast and may reach hurricane status before its expected landfall in eastern North Carolina.  The biggest threat for…

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  • Temperatures in Georgia during June were near to slightly above normal for the entire state, but rainfall amounts varied significantly across Georgia this month. In general, the wettest conditions were in the northwest corner of the state and the driest conditions were in the southwest. Severe weather, mainly scattered wind events, impacted the state on…

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  • The five-day forecast looks fairly dry for most of the Southeast, with the exception of Florida and the East Coast, which is expected to feel the winds and rains from Tropical Depression 1.  TD 1 may become TS Arthur later this week.  All of the model runs show the storm staying out to sea, but…

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  • The first tropical depression of the year has formed off the east coast of Florida.  The forecast cone for the depression is shown below.  At this point it is still fairly disorganized but is expected to strengthen and turn north.  It is likely that the Florida peninsula will feel some heavy rain and wind gusts,…

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