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With Hurricane Dorian intensifying and forecast to impact Florida and other areas of the southeast US in the next week, the USDA Southeast Climate Hub has consolidated the following resources for agriculture, aquaculture, and forestry, to help producers prepare for and recover from potential hurricane impacts. Note that many of these are drafts and they…
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As of 11 pm on Labor Day night, Hurricane Dorian is sitting and spinning with virtually no movement. It’s been that way for most of the day, and the center of the eye has moved only about 40 miles the entire day, which gives it an average forward speed of less than 2 mph. While…
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As you might expect, I’ve had a lot of questions about hurricanes this week. Mostly they have been about Hurricane Dorian (I’ll post more about that in a minute), but some have been about hurricanes in general. One question I’ve gotten is whether hurricanes are affected by our warming climate. The answer is more complicated…
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While most of the computer models of Hurricane Dorian’s track at present keep the center of circulation offshore as it moves up the coast, there is still considerable uncertainty because of the slow movement of the storm and the weak steering currents. Because of this the governors of Georgia and South Carolina have decided to…
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For climatologists, today is the first day of fall. We use calendar months instead of the astronomical calendar because in the past it was easier to do climate calculations using the calendar month. But it turns out that the climatological seasons are better aligned with what we actually see in the annual swing of temperatures…
Posted in: Climate and Ag in the news -
The final climate outlook for September was released today. It shows that the temperature is likely to be warmer than normal across the region, with the highest likelihood in the Florida peninsula. The precip outlook is heavily weighted by what they think will happen with Hurricane Dorian over the next few days and shows that…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
This morning’s 7 day QPF map shows a band of heavy rain along the East Coast of the US. This mirrors this morning’s expected path of Hurricane Dorian along the coast. If that happens, then some areas near the coast could see as much as ten inches. But if you’ve been paying attention, you know…
Posted in: Climate outlooks