• The latest 7-day tropical outlook shows that the area of potential development in the western Caribbean has decreased from 50% to 40% chance of occurring in the next seven days. Most models show that any development is going to be very slow to pull together as the area of convection enters the Gulf of Mexico.…

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  • I can’t begin to list all the stories about Hurricane Helene that I have seen in the media for the past few days, but here are a few that are of special interest because they address agriculture and safety. New York Times: How Helene Wrought So Much Havoc, So Far From the Coasts Washington Post:…

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  • The latest 7-day outlook from the National Hurricane Center shows that while Helene has dissipated, there are two new named storms in the Atlantic, Hurricane Isaac and Tropical Storm Joyce. Both of them are moving away from the US and will not affect us. There is also an area with a 70% chance of development…

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  • The latest 7-day QPF map for the Southeast shows that there will be very little rain in Alabama and Georgia this week until perhaps late in the week. There will be more rain in the Florida Peninsula and in Virginia and northern North Carolina. However, there is a lot of uncertainty with this because it…

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  • The latest information from the National Hurricane Center indicates that Helene is now expected to become a Category 4 major hurricane before it makes landfall on Thursday evening. It will still be a powerful hurricane when it moves through Tallahassee and into Georgia west of Valdosta. The latest maps show hurricane warnings as far north…

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  • During the day today, Potential Tropical Cyclone 9 became Tropical Storm Helene. It is continuing to strengthen and should be a hurricane soon. It is expected to continue to strengthen over the next day and become a major hurricane before making landfall along the Northern Gulf Coast sometime on Thursday. The models have been quite…

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  • Over the last 24 hours, the convection in the western Caribbean has strengthened, mostly on the east side of the area of convection, and winds have increased, but no closed low has been found yet so it continues as Potential Tropical Cyclone #9 as of 11 pm on Monday. It is expected to become Tropical…

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