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We are about halfway through May 2021, and the preliminary values show that most of the region other than the Florida Peninsula have been colder than normal for the month so far. The western parts of the region have been relatively wet, while eastern Florida, SE Georgia, and the eastern parts of the Carolinas have…
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As we head towards the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season, you may be wondering whether we will see another 30 storms this year. Of course, the answer is complicated because the climate conditions change from one year to the next. You might also wonder if this is a sign of things to come more frequently in…
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You have probably read here or elsewhere that NOAA just updated the normals for climate data across the US. They went from the 1981-2010 averaging period to the 1991-2020 averaging period. The results for most of the country were that the new normal temperature was higher than the old ones, and precipitation also went up…
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In the Southeast, we are observing changes to the water cycle as temperatures increase. We see both more intense rainfall events and more droughts. California is also seeing this and observing that the changes in climate are also leading to changes in pests and diseases, which the farmers there treat with pesticides and herbicides. But…
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The next week looks dry for most of the Southeast, with the exception of light showers in the Carolinas and heavier rain on the southern tip of Florida. The big action is going to be to our west, where several inches could fall in Texas and Oklahoma over the next few days. A big ridge…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
According to the latest ENSO blog by NOAA, La Niña is now officially over and we have returned to neutral conditions as of May 13, 2021. NOAA forecasters estimate about a 67% chance that neutral conditions will continue through the summer. The ENSO forecast for the fall is less confident, with odds of a second-year…
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The latest monthly global climate summary for April 2021 was released today by NOAA. It shows that for the earth as a whole, this was the 9th warmest April since records began in 1880. This in spite of the fact that we are just coming out of a La Nina (that was declared today too),…