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The latest monthly and seasonal outlooks were released by NOAA today. The new cleaner maps look great! The outlook for October shows that the northeastern half of the region is leaning towards warmer than normal conditions, while Alabama, Florida, and western Georgia have equal chances of near, above, or below normal temperatures. A lot of…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
The latest Drought Monitor came out today and shows slight increases in abnormally dry (D0) conditions in Georgia and Virginia. However, there were also slight decreases in D0 conditions in North and South Carolina. Overall, just a little increase in D0 coverage across the region as a whole. With the rain this week, we may…
Posted in: Drought -
Here is a new set of four webinars from NOAA that will discuss how precipitation is changing over time and how those changes are likely to impact small and medium-scale water systems. They had one additional webinar on the 14th but I missed that one, presumably it will be recorded for later viewing. They will…
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According to NOAA’s latest ENSO post, we are on the verge of going back into a La Nina, with a 70-80 percent chance of occurrence over the winter. All of the conditions are ripe for us to cross the magic threshold of ocean temperatures more than 1/2 degree C below the long-term average. You might…
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Nicholas was downgraded to a tropical depression earlier today. While Nicholas was stronger, gusty winds knocked down some trees and power lines, but now it is mostly just a rain event. Lots of rain. The old rule of thumb for rain from a tropical system is the total amount of rain from a storm in…
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NOAA released their monthly climate summary for the world earlier today. It showed that August 2021 was the 6th hottest August since records began in 1880. Summer 2021 was the second warmest on record for North America, following 2012. The Northern Hemisphere summer also tied 2019 as the 2nd hottest on record due to a…
Posted in: Climate summaries -
As you probably know, California is in a massive drought right now, and agricultural producers are struggling to get enough water to sustain their crops. In some cases, they are plowing under the crops or destroying orchards because they don’t have irrigation available to keep them going. This situation is likely to get worse as…