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With just a couple of days to go, we can use the Southeast Regional Climate Center’s Perspectives tool to predict the ranking of temperatures for stations across the region. The tool, which you can find at https://sercc.com/climate-perspectives/, allows you to use predicted temperatures for up for five days ahead to predict the expected monthly average…
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Update: Slides and video now available at https://www.drought.gov/webinars/southeast-climate-monthly-webinar-february-28-2023. Join us for the Southeast Climate Monthly Webinar! These webinars provide the region with timely information on current and developing climate conditions such as drought, floods, and tropical storms, as well as climatic events like El Niño and La Niña. Speakers may also discuss the impacts of…
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The precipitation pattern this week looks a lot like last week’s, with the heaviest rain in the northern part of the region and little to none in the Florida Peninsula. Week 2 looks a lot like this week, so there are no big changes expected on the short term. NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center does start…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
The latest Drought Monitor, released today, shows virtually no change in most of the states except for Florida. In the Sunshine State, abnormally dry conditions expanded although the area covered by drought did not change. With rain in the next week confined to the northern part of the region, they are likely to see an…
Posted in: Drought -
One question I often get asked when I give talks about the changing climate is whether ENSO, the tropical swing in temperatures between El Nino and La Nina, is affected by the warming climate. It turns out not to be a simple question because ENSO depends not only on sea surface temperatures but also the…
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An ongoing study funded by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration that is being conducted by the University of Alabama-Huntsville, the University of Florida and the University of Georgia is developing methods for identifying and quantifying the effect of flash drought with each university focusing on different strategies. Flash drought is often not captured by…
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Last summer, Hurricanes Ian and Nicole crossed the Florida peninsula. Both brought heavy rain to parts of the region after previous inundation from Hurricane Irma in 2017. Now, residents are trying to decide whether or not to move out of the area or take their chances that another storm will not flood them out again.…