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Welcome to climatological winter!

For climatologists, December 1 marks the first day of winter. We use the calendar months of December, January, and February for winter rather than the astronomical date starting later in December because they more reasonably approximate the coldest three-month period of the year (and in early years, made it much…
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Only light rain expected this week

After today’s front passes through the Southeast, only light rain is expected for most of the region over the next week. The heaviest rain amounts are expected mid- to late week in the Mississippi Valley area and stretching east into Alabama. Even those will only be about an inch, though.
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Happy Thanksgiving to all!

I’m taking a few days off to visit family so will stop the blog until I return on Sunday, December 1. Hope you all have a healthy and safe holiday and enjoy the season with family and friends. Thank farmers for all the food you eat!
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How does NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center make winter forecasts when ENSO is neutral?

The best forecast clue for what winter is likely to be like in the Southeast and other parts of the US is whether El Niño or La Niña is present in the Eastern Pacific Ocean. This year we have neutral conditions, which makes a winter prediction tougher. But NOAA’s Climate…
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