El Nino and La Nina
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NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center released their latest ENSO forecast today. As predicted, they expect the current weakening El Nino to transition to neutral conditions sometime in the next month. This is expected to be followed by a swing to La Nina by June-August (49%) or July-September (69%). The La Nina is expected to dominate the…
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The latest ENSO forecast from NOAA, released today, shows that the expected transition away from El Nino to neutral conditions is underway and neutral conditions are likely (85%) by April-June 2024. It is then expected to swing to La Nina by June-August 2024 (60%). This is one factor in the recent prediction from Colorado State…
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As expected, for us in the Southeast, rainfall this winter has been abundant for most of the winter due to the effects of the current strong El Nino (maybe a little too abundant for some farmers). But how does the amount of rainfall we got compare to what we usually get in El Nino winters?…
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According to a recent story from the National Weather Service, the waning El Nino has provided a lot of drought relief to the nation over the course of the winter, including parts of the Southeast. While many parts of the country benefited from the rain, drought expanded in the High Plains, especially Montana, North Dakota,…
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NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center issued their latest ENSO advisory today. It shows that while there is still a strong El Nino present in the ocean, it is rapidly decaying and the models now suggest that it will be back in neutral conditions by the April through June period (83% chance). A swing to La Nina…
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Cross-posted from The Garden Professors blog (https://gardenprofessors.com/) In this blog I’ve talked several times about El Niño and La Niña and how they affect climate across the Northern Hemisphere as well as their impacts on the rest of the world. We are currently in a strong El Niño with sea surface temperatures in the Eastern…
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With Atlantic Ocean temperatures at summer-like conditions already this year in the main development region of the tropics, tropical scientists are very concerned about the likelihood of a very active Atlantic tropical season this year, especially if El Nino decays quickly and is replaced by La Nina. CNN has a good discussion on this here.…