The latest ENSO forecast from NOAA, released today, shows that the expected transition away from El Nino to neutral conditions is underway and neutral conditions are likely (85%) by April-June 2024. It is then expected to swing to La Nina by June-August 2024 (60%). This is one factor in the recent prediction from Colorado State of 23 named storms in the Atlantic Basin in 2024. You can read more here.