The latest ENSO forecast from NOAA, released earlier this week, shows that while near-normal ocean temperatures are currently present in the Eastern Pacific Ocean, they are expecting a La Nina to develop by the September through November period and last through the winter. Most of the forecasts currently show that they are expecting only a weak La Nina to develop, which means that the biggest impacts are likely to be limited to southern Alabama and Georgia and in Florida, while areas farther north may be more variable and might not follow the expected pattern of warmer and drier than normal conditions this winter. A quick return to neutral conditions in spring could mean a higher chance for a late frost, but at this point we can just watch and wait.
