Climate outlooks
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September 10 is the peak of the hurricane season in the Atlantic, which means that historically today is the day that has had the highest number of tropical storms and hurricanes. And while we have no active storms now, there are three areas that are under watch by the National Hurricane Center. The two in…
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The latest 7-day QPF map shows that nearly all of the region will see less than a quarter inch of rain this week. The only exceptions are a bit more in southern Florida and in the mountains, where some showers may pop up later in the week. It’s not uncommon for a dry spell in…
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As of 11 pm on Labor Day night, Hurricane Dorian is sitting and spinning with virtually no movement. It’s been that way for most of the day, and the center of the eye has moved only about 40 miles the entire day, which gives it an average forward speed of less than 2 mph. While…
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While most of the computer models of Hurricane Dorian’s track at present keep the center of circulation offshore as it moves up the coast, there is still considerable uncertainty because of the slow movement of the storm and the weak steering currents. Because of this the governors of Georgia and South Carolina have decided to…
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The final climate outlook for September was released today. It shows that the temperature is likely to be warmer than normal across the region, with the highest likelihood in the Florida peninsula. The precip outlook is heavily weighted by what they think will happen with Hurricane Dorian over the next few days and shows that…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
This morning’s 7 day QPF map shows a band of heavy rain along the East Coast of the US. This mirrors this morning’s expected path of Hurricane Dorian along the coast. If that happens, then some areas near the coast could see as much as ten inches. But if you’ve been paying attention, you know…
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The good news is that Hurricane Dorian has slowed down. That gives us more time to prepare, since now it is not likely to be affecting Georgia (except for coastal areas, which will get hit sooner) until the middle of next week or later. We also have more confidence in where the storm is likely…