Climate outlooks
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The latest outlook for January 2020 and beyond came out earlier this week from the Climate Prediction Center. It shows that January is leaning towards wetter than normal conditions but that there is no signal in temperature. For the January through March period, the long-term trend towards warmer than normal conditions is likely to occur…
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Now that the current rain-making system is mostly out of the region, we should see a couple of days of dry weather before the next system moves in on Monday night. Parts of the region could see a chance of severe weather, so watch for updates from the National Weather Service or your local media…
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The latest outlook for El Niño was released this morning by NOAA. It shows that ENSO conditions are currently neutral and are expected to remain so for at least the first half of 2020. In the Southeast neutral winters generally have more swings in temperature between warm and cold episodes because there is less influence…
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The next seven days should bring 1-2 inches to parts of the Southeast. Most of the rain is expected late in the week from Thursday through Saturday, but scattered showers could occur earlier as well. The Florida peninsula will be largely missed by the rain, though. This may put a further dent in the remaining…
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November 2019 was 1-3 degrees F colder than normal, a stark contrast to the very warm October. Most areas of the state were drier than normal, but some coastal areas received heavy rain in mid-November, resulting in wetter than normal conditions there. In spite of the dry conditions across most of the state, drought coverage…
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After today’s front passes through the Southeast, only light rain is expected for most of the region over the next week. The heaviest rain amounts are expected mid- to late week in the Mississippi Valley area and stretching east into Alabama. Even those will only be about an inch, though.
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The best forecast clue for what winter is likely to be like in the Southeast and other parts of the US is whether El Niño or La Niña is present in the Eastern Pacific Ocean. This year we have neutral conditions, which makes a winter prediction tougher. But NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center still issued a…