Climate outlooks

  • The next three days should be dry for nearly all of the Southeast, with rain chances ramping up after that. There should be enough rain to put a dent in the dry areas of Alabama, but with less than an inch expected in most of Georgia, the moderate drought currently in place is not expected…

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  • As you know if you’ve been following this blog, an El Niño appears to be forming in the Eastern Pacific Ocean and is expected to develop over the next couple of months and last through the winter (gory details of the technical discussion can be found at https://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/lanina/enso_evolution-status-fcsts-web.pdf). A number of forecasters are expecting that unlike…

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  • The latest 7-day QPF forecast shows that while we can expect a little bit of rain today as a cold front moves through the region, after that it should be mostly dry. Rain chances will return on Thursday or Friday when up to an inch is possible in southern Alabama and Georgia and into Florida…

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  • The outlook for November 2018 and for November through January 2019 was released today by NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center. It shows that November is leaning towards warmer than normal temperatures across the US and wetter than normal conditions in the Southeast. For the months of November 2018 through January 2019, a weak El Niño is…

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  • The next week should be almost completely dry for those in the area affected by Hurricane Michael this past week. Those dry conditions should help recovery efforts in clearing roads, repairing power lines, fixing houses, and recovering scattered livestock. They need all the help they can get! We are thinking of them as we see…

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  • While I am traveling, I can’t provide frequent updates on Hurricane Michael, but here are some places to go and get information. As of 8 pm tonight, Michael is a category 1 storm expected to get stronger before it makes landfall, probably sometime on Wednesday afternoon on the Florida Panhandle. It is currently expected to…

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  • Another dry weekend is in store for most of the Southeast as the strong high pressure system continues to dominate the local weather. The high will gradually retreat to the east, allowing more flow from the Gulf of Mexico, bringing moisture back to the areas that have been quite dry. In addition, by midweek we…

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