Climate outlooks
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Earlier this week I noted the potential for an early start to the Atlantic tropical season. Today the National Hurricane Center issued this statement about the potential for development: “A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms extending from the northwestern Caribbean Sea across Cuba, southern Florida, and the Bahamas is associated with an upper-level…
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The National Interagency Fire Center has issued their May outlook for wildfire possibilities across the United States this week. The report shows that the Southeast has a lower than normal chance for wildfires this year due to the current wet conditions coupled with the presence of the El Nino, which is expected to last for…
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The latest 7-day QPF shows that a good portion of the Southeast will have dry conditions for another week. This should help farmers finish up their spring planting and take care of other field work. South Florida is the biggest exception, with a higher chance of rain than the rest of the region. The week…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
The Atlantic tropical storm season officially starts on June 1. However, this year the unofficial season may start a little earlier than usual if model predictions hold true. The models show the potential for an extratropical storm to form on an old frontal boundary over the Bahamas which could drift north to North Carolina over…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
After many days of wet conditions, the forecast for the next week shows most of the Southeast with little to no rain. This is welcome news for farmers who have been struggling to get out into the fields to do planting and other field work. The only areas that are expected to get rain are…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
Climatologists around the country have been watching the development of El Nino over the last year. In 2014 we thought a strong El Nino might be starting, but the pattern never quite developed the “oomph” needed to cross the threshold into official El Nino territory. However, many of the climate impacts we saw in the…
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The seven day QPF forecast for this week shows a continuation of rainy conditions this week across most of the Southeast. That is not good news for farmers already struggling with all the rain we’ve been having for the past few weeks. But the week won’t be continually rainy, so farmers may be able to…