Climate outlooks

  • NOAA issued its official forecast for the Atlantic hurricane season this morning.  The number of storms is predicted to be less than normal, due mainly to the expected onset of El Nino later this summer, which usually tends to suppress hurricane activity.  However, even one storm can have significant consequences if it makes landfall in…

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  • David Zierden, the Florida State Climatologist, provides this analysis:       This spring has been exceptionally rainy for N. Florida and the Panhandle, and above normal for the rest of the State with the exception of south Florida.  Daytona Beach is at 18.32 inches for the year since Jan. 1, 4.77 inches above normal.  Wildfire risk…

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  • WALB reports that after a dry few days, fields in Southwest Georgia are drying out and farmers are catching up on field work, which has been running about two weeks behind normal.  For details, click here to read the story.  Meanwhile, forecasts for this Memorial Day weekend indicate that temperatures on Memorial Day weekend could…

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  • After a wet weekend across most of the Southeast, the weather should quiet down for the next few days.  Temperatures will slowly rise and precipitation is not expected until late in the week.    Even though some precipitation will fall, amounts are generally expected to be light.  Near normal temperatures and below normal rainfall should continue…

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  • David Zierden, the Florida State Climatologist, sends this report: North Florida including the Panhandle, south Alabama, and southwest Georgia have experienced a very wet spring this year, topped off by the flooding rains that hit the Pensacola and Mobile area on April 28-30.  But the recent rainfall is just the latest in a string of…

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  •     So far May has been feast or famine for rainfall in the Southeast.  I saw standing water on the fields in northern Florida into southern Georgia as I drove back from Tallahassee to Athens last week, but dust clouds as I got close to home.  This map shows the rankings of the month-to-date…

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  • El Nino update

    The warm pool of water in the equatorial Pacific Ocean continues to move eastward, increasing chances for an El Nino to develop later this summer into fall.  In winter, El Nino causes wet and cool conditions in south Georgia as the subtropical jet stream shifts right over the state, bringing clouds and plentiful precipitation with…

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