Climate outlooks
-
The latest Drought Monitor has just been released and shows that drought conditions in the Southeast have remained almost unchanged from last week. The dry conditions we have seen for the last few days are fairly typical for October, which is one of the driest months in the Southeast, and are expected to continue for…
-
The Future Tense blog at Slate.com provided some good commentary on seasonal forecasting in their blog entry from October 17. Winter seasons are the easiest to predict, because they are generally tied to the presence or absence of El Nino in the Eastern Pacific Ocean. This is especially true in the southern portions of the…
-
The 7-day QPF map shows that most of the Southeast is expected to get no rain for the next week. The only exception is the far south of the Florida peninsula, including the Keys. This area is expected to be affected by a low which is organizing in the Bay of Campeche and is forecast…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
Yesterday NOAA issued their latest winter weather outlook. The story is here and the maps are below. Their forecast is based on the likely (67 percent chance) development of a weak El Nino in the next two months which would steer the subtropical jet stream across southern Georgia and Alabama and Florida. While an El…
-
Early this week will have a variety of interesting weather events across Georgia and the Southeast. Today a “wedge” of cool air moved into northeast Georgia, dropping temperatures northeast of Atlanta. You can see the results of the cold air flow in the temperature map from the Georgia Weather Network below as well as a…
-
The 7-day QPF forecast gives the Southeast a high likelihood of significant rains, especially in Alabama where drought has been growing over the last few weeks. Rainfall amounts of greater than 4 inches may occur in isolated areas of northern Alabama, and rainfalls of over 1.5 inches should cover most of the state. In Georgia,…
-
Even though we are past the peak of the Atlantic hurricane season, there are still some signs of life out there. On the map below the named storm is Subtropical Storm Fay. This type of storm has a different temperature structure than a true tropical hurricane but can still pack some pretty good winds. It…
Posted in: Climate outlooks