Climate outlooks

  • The latest monthly and seasonal climate outlooks were released by the Climate Prediction Center this week.  They show that warm temperatures in the upper Midwest are likely to continue for the next few months while wet conditions in the Southeast are also likely to continue; both are patterns that are strongly impacted by El Niño…

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  • The weather pattern this week favors rainy conditions for northern Alabama and Georgia and upstate areas of the Carolinas. After a dry start to the weekend, rain should move into the area late on Sunday.  Rain will be the most widespread through the region in mid-week.

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  • A large area of rain and some frozen precipitation will cross the Southeast beginning Sunday night into Tuesday.  The heaviest rain should fall on Monday as the storm develops.  Predicting the type and timing of winter precipitation is always tricky, but the current predicted path of the storm makes it  likely that most of the…

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  • The latest QPF map shows very limited precipitation in the Southeast for the next week.  The areas most like to see wet conditions are the mountains and along the East Coast.  There is even a limited potential for some light snow as the latest storm develops along the coast, although I don’t expect that we…

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  • This coming week rain is expected over the Southeast, with the lowest amounts in Florida and the highest amounts stretching from the eastern Gulf of Mexico up the East Coast.  This track will bring significant rain to southeastern Georgia, where abnormally dry conditions have lingered over the past few months as they have missed a…

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  • The National Weather Service has issued a Day 5 Outlook (Tuesday to Wednesday next week) for severe weather which indicates a moderate chance of severe weather.  The severe weather includes the chance for strong winds, hail, and tornadoes.  Localized heavy rain is also possible. The center of the most likely area is in Alabama and…

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  • Has El Niño peaked?

    El Niño has been strongly affecting the climate of the Southeast for the past few months, leading to our current wet conditions.  While temperatures in December were much warmer than expected for an El Niño winter, since then the Southeast has cooled down to more normal values.  Cloudiness this year has also been an issue…

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