Climate outlooks
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Even though we are on the downside of the tropical season, it is not too late to get an impactful storm. Today Tropical Storm Joaquin is out in the Atlantic and may be headed for the North Carolina coast and the Northeast, where it could cause a lot of problems with flooding in the area.…
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A tropical low pressure center which is beginning to develop in the Gulf of Mexico is expected to track over the Southeast early next week, bringing wet conditions throughout the area. The rain is expected to be heaviest Tuesday and Wednesday as the storm traverses the area. The amount of rain that falls at any location…
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The Drought Monitor map released yesterday showed some slight improvement in drought across the Southeast due to recent rains, although there was expansion of drought in Texas and other central parts of the US. Considering how much rain we received yesterday from the low slowly crossing the Southeast, we can expect more relief on next…
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After the next week, which should have a couple of episodes of rain, most of the mid-range models are suggesting a return to drier than normal conditions which should last through most of October. This will be the key time to harvest hay and crops that require dry conditions. By the end of October, most…
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The forecasts for rainfall for Thursday night into Friday put parts of northeast Georgia and most of South Carolina into the area of potential heavy precipitation. One to three inches are possible as a low moves through the area from the Gulf of Mexico. If you have been curing hay due to the recent dry…
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NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center has a new product available on their main web page at https://www.cpc.noaa.gov/. For the first time, they are publishing experimental 3-4 week climate outlooks that are similar to the 6-10 day and 8-14 day forecasts. You can see the latest forecasts for 3-4 weeks below. They show a high likelihood of above…
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The latest 7-day QPF shows that most of the Southeast should get less than 1/2 inch of rain in the next week. Saturday and Sunday should be dry for most areas, then a front passing through will bring rain on Monday. As the front moves to the south by midweek, the area most likely to…
Posted in: Climate outlooks