Climate outlooks
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The latest monthly outlook was released from the Climate Prediction Center earlier this week. It shows an increased chance of above normal temperatures for most of the Southeast, and especially Florida and adjacent areas of Georgia and South Carolina. The precip outlook shows that northern Alabama and northwest Georgia are in a slightly increased chance…
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NOAA released their official forecast for the Atlantic tropical season today. The full text is below. The forecast says that a near-normal number of storms is the most likely outcome. This means that there is a 70% likelihood of 10-16 named storms, 4-8 hurricanes and 1-4 major hurricanes. Forecasts do not include the likelihood of…
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The latest 7 day QPF forecast shows that for the next week, most of the Southeast should receive less than a quarter inch of rain. The exceptions are southeast Florida and northern North Carolina, which might receive a bit more. Most of the rain will continue to pour over the middle sections of the country,…
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The latest 3-month outlooks were released by the Climate Prediction Center today. They show that for the next four seasons, above normal temperatures are likely in each season for the Southeast. This is based both on long-term trends in temperature, which have been gradually rising, and the impacts of the La Niña which appears to…
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So far May 2016 has had variable temperature and precipitation conditions. Most areas of the Southeast have been above normal in temperature, particularly South Carolina. Rainfall has varied widely, with North Carolina and Virginia receiving the most along with a strip of the western Florida peninsula. Alabama and Georgia have been dry. According to the…
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While this weekend will be dry across the Southeast, starting by mid-week we should return to a wetter pattern, and we could see up to two inches of rain in some areas by Friday. A few locations could see even more. This appears to be a shift to wetter conditions overall, according to maps from…
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The latest 7-day QPF map shows that most of the Southeast will get less than half an inch in the next week, with what little that comes falling later in the time period. This is likely to increase the area under moderate drought. We will see when the next drought map comes out on Thursday.