Climate outlooks

  • This week’s rainfall should be moderate for most parts of the Southeast.  The best chances for rain are later in the week for most of the region.  The heaviest amounts will be along the Gulf Coast and along the west coast of the Florida peninsula. Temperatures early in the week should be well above average…

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  • As climatologists continue to watch the eastern Pacific Ocean, cool waters there have provided more fuel to the idea that El Niño is all but gone. Here are three more blog posts which discuss the demise of El Niño and what might come next, from opposite ends of the country. The State Climate Office of…

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  • The State Climate Office of North Carolina released their latest outlook for summer for North Carolina this morning.  While it is specific to NC, a lot of the information in it is generally true for the entire Southeast.  You can see it at https://climate.ncsu.edu/climateblog?id=193&h=5666e5c1.

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  • The National Hurricane Center noted the official development of Tropical Storm Colin this afternoon at 5:30 EDT.  This is the earliest ever in the season for a third named storm.  Colin is forecast to continue to develop and move off to the northeast over the next few days.  It is expected to land on the Florida…

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  • The latest 7-day QPF shows that the Florida panhandle is going to be the wet spot this week as likely Tropical Storm Colin develops and crosses the peninsula early next week.  Rainfall of over 5 inches may be seen in some areas. Elsewhere in the Southeast, most areas will see at least an inch of…

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  • Spring is officially over (climatologically speaking) and now we look forward to summer.  I often get asked whether a hot spring means a hot summer, or some other permutation of that question.  Often, there is no correlation between seasons.  However, in the latest “Beyond the Data” blog entry from Climate.gov, Deke Arndt discusses the impact of a…

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  • The latest monthly outlook was released from the Climate Prediction Center earlier this week.  It shows an increased chance of above normal temperatures for most of the Southeast, and especially Florida and adjacent areas of Georgia and South Carolina.  The precip outlook shows that northern Alabama and northwest Georgia are in a slightly increased chance…

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