Climate outlooks
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The latest set of outlook maps from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center came out this week. They show that only the southern half of the Florida peninsula shows any temperature tendency, and that is towards warmer than normal temperatures. The rest of the region has equal chances of above, near or below normal temperature. This is…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
While an El Niño has not yet been officially declared, the telltale water temperatures and wind patterns that are associated with an El Niño are all in place and I expect an official move from an El Niño Watch to an Advisory in the near future. The forecasts for this winter are less certain than…
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The latest 7 day QPF map shows that after a cool and dry weekend, rain will return to most of the Southeast by Monday evening as a Gulf low forms near Louisiana and races to the northeast, bringing up to several inches of rain over parts of the region by Wednesday. The only part of…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
If you follow this blog, you know we’ve been expecting the onset of an El Niño sometime this fall. So far, it hasn’t quite happened. This article from NOAA gives an update on the current status of the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and how likely the El Niño is. You can read it at https://www.climate.gov/news-features/blogs/enso/november-2018-enso-update-just-little-bit-history-repeating.…
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UPDATE: As of Friday November 9, it now looks like most of Florida and the coastal plains of Georgia, South and North Carolina will probably be spared a frost during this cold air outbreak, although scattered areas could still see something. Follow your local National Weather Service forecast for the latest information. I’ve been watching…
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The latest monthly and 3-month outlooks for the US show that in November the forecast from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center leans toward warmer and wetter conditions than normal, particularly in the coastal areas of the Southeast. For the November through January period, the influence of the developing El Niño is seen, with equal chances of…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
The latest 7 day QPF map shows that Florida is expected to see scant rain in the next week. The coastal plains of Alabama, Georgia, and the Carolinas are expected to see half an inch or less, so abnormally dry conditions should continue there. Coastal waters and the higher elevations parts of the Southeast will…
Posted in: Climate outlooks