Climate outlooks

  • More rain this week

    The latest 7 day QPF map shows that most of the Southeast will get about an inch of rain this week. The exception is the northern peninsula of Florida, which could get up to two inches of rain as the latest front stalls out there. A lot of the rain will come this weekend with…

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  • The National Weather Service’s Southeast River Forecast Center has published their latest video rendition of the monthly water outlook this week. This one takes a special look at the reservoirs around the Southeast and where they are compared to normal conditions. You can view it at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HM8mm48XJ-4&feature=youtu.be.

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  • The latest climate outlook for February and for February through April was released by NOAA earlier this week. It shows that the most likely conditions are for warmer and drier conditions to cover much of the Southeast, especially in Florida and the southern parts of Alabama and Georgia. Areas to the north of that could…

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  • The latest 7 day QPF map shows that almost all areas of the Southeast will receive less than half an inch this week. The only exceptions are parts of the Appalachian Mountains and a small area near Miami. Most of that will fall on Monday. This means we are unlikely to see an improvement in…

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  • As expected, the latest Drought Monitor shows an expansion of severe drought in the Southeast. The area of D2 drought is larger than last week in SW Georgia, the Florida panhandle, and SE Alabama. A second area of severe drought has also been introduced into Alabama. The latest seasonal outlook for drought was released this…

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  • The latest 7-day QPF map shows that most of the Southeast will have only a little precipitation this week, with some areas receiving none at all. The cold temperatures will minimize loss from evaporation but the lack of water may contribute to increasing the drought in next week’s Drought Monitor.

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  • NOAA: La Niña update

    The latest outlook on La Niña was released by NOAA this week. It’s a look at the current state of ENSO (the see-saw that occurs between El Niño and La Niña and a discussion of what a double-dip La Niña is as well as a forecast for what to expect next. It also shows how…

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