September 2024
-
We don’t often get really big hail in the Southeast, but sometimes it can reach a couple of inches in diameter. That can do a lot of damage to cars, buildings, and trees. But even small hail can cause problems for agriculture, since it can damage crops or damage crops like peppers, making them unsuitable…
-
The latest tropical outlook, released earlier this evening, shows that the chance of tropical development somewhere in the western Caribbean or Gulf of Mexico over the next week has been increased to 70 percent. The models have converged somewhat in their ensembles of tracks to show a landfall along the Gulf Coast is becoming likely…
Posted in: Tropical weather -
The fall equinox is occurring this year on September 22, 2024, at 8:44 am EDT. On the equinox, the sun appears directly above the earth’s equator, and days and nights are almost (but not exactly) of equal length. You can read more about the equinox at https://earthsky.org/astronomy-essentials/everything-you-need-to-know-september-equinox/. Of course, climatological fall started on September 1,…
Posted in: Climate and Ag in the news -
Because I am tired of talking about the potential for a hurricane in the Gulf next week, here is some counterprogramming–a review of the (fairly) new Twisters movie, which was released about a month ago. It was written by a friend of mine, Barb Mayes Boustead, who is a severe weather specialist and someone who…
Posted in: Uncategorized -
The latest 7-day QPF map shows that most of the region will have relatively light rainfall for the next seven days, with the biggest rain amounts falling in South Florida and in North Carolina and Virginia. The big question mark is the end of the period, when a tropical storm or hurricane may be approaching…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
If you have been following the ENSO forecasts, you already know that we were in an El Nino last winter and that we are currently in neutral conditions headed for a La Nina later this year. NOAA released their latest monthly and seasonal forecasts today, and they show the very typical pattern of temperature and…
-
I’ve been getting more questions about the potential for a tropical storm or hurricane to make landfall in the Southeast sometime late next week. Apparently I’m not the only one, because the NWS put together this graphic to discuss why it is too early to worry about it yet, although it is something you should…
Posted in: Tropical weather