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The latest monthly outlook from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center shows that warmer and wetter than normal conditions are expected to continue through most of the Southeast for the next month. The only place without a tilt towards wet conditions is the Florida peninsula, where dry conditions have persisted over the last few weeks. In a…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
With just a couple of days to go until the end of the month, I thought I would show the maps for the month to date (through the 29th). The temperature map shows that the entire region was above normal in temperature, which is probably no surprise to anyone in the area. The precip map…
Posted in: Climate summaries -
The NWS Peachtree City posted a video discussion of the severe weather expected during the day on March 31, 2020 across Georgia. If you are in the southern half of Georgia (and even farther north) you might want to watch it in the morning before the action begins. You can see the video at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R-hkTgVXTUk&feature=youtu.be…
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A new study published in 2019 shows that tropical cyclones and hurricanes are strengthening more rapidly in recent years than in previous decades, according to NOAA’s National Centers for Environmental Information. A second article shows that the poorer island nations are bearing the brunt of these rapidly developing storms, leading to devastating consequences. Both studies…
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The latest 7-day QPF map shows that northern stretches of the region should see seasonal rain this week, but southern parts will see little to no rain again, which is likely to make dry conditions worse. The rain will mostly fall in the middle of the week, Tuesday through Thursday, with a dry weekend for…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
The El Nino-Southern Oscillation, or ENSO, is the single most important predictor of seasonal climate in the Southeast, so we tend to watch it fairly closely to see if it can give us clues to future conditions. But researchers have found that a shift in ENSO patterns has reduced our ability to make useful predictions.…
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Accuweather released their prediction for the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season today. Their team is calling for 14-18 tropical storms during this upcoming season, which runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Of those storms, seven to nine are forecast to become hurricanes, and two to four are predicted to strengthen into major hurricanes. The 2019…