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We are now entering the time of year when we start to get fronts moving through Georgia and other southern regions of the Southeast with more regularity. Ahead of a cold front our air gets warmer and moister and rain is likely to fall as the front approaches. After the cold front passes, we see…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
The latest global climate summary for October 2024 was released by NOAA this week. It shows that the earth as a whole was the second warmest year since official records began in 1880. Many areas had record warmth but a few areas were still below the long-term average, including the area where La Nina is…
Posted in: Climate summaries -
The latest ENSO forecast, released today, shows that La Nina is still expected to be officially declared soon but the likelihood has gone down a bit because it is taking so long to develop. When (or if) it does occur, it is likely to be a weak and short-lived one. The strongest impacts in a…
Posted in: El Nino and La Nina -
With the impending arrival of La Nina (see related post today), farmers can start to make some educated guesses about what the winter weather conditions are likely to be. My colleague Bob Kemerait of the University of Georgia wrote an article for Southeast Farm Press describing the likely effects of a warmer and drier than…
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Over the course of the day Potential Tropical Cyclone 19 formed and gradually organized into Tropical Storm Sara. Sara is predicted to move west over Honduras, where it could drop 20 or more inches as it crawls slowly westward into the Yucatan Peninsula and then swings northwest as a weakened storm into the Gulf. A…
Posted in: Tropical weather -
This was a week of haves and have-nots for soil moisture in the Southeast. An area of very heavy rain (6-10 inches in some areas) in southeastern GA and adjacent parts of SC removed drought from that portion of the region. The rest of the region experienced almost no rain and as a result, moderate…
Posted in: Drought -
The Atlantic tropical season is not over just yet. The National Hurricane Center has identified another area with a 90% chance of development in the next week in the western Caribbean Sea where tropical cyclones typically develop in late fall. If it develops as expected, it would be called Sara. The storm is expected to…
Posted in: Tropical weather