We are now entering the time of year when we start to get fronts moving through Georgia and other southern regions of the Southeast with more regularity. Ahead of a cold front our air gets warmer and moister and rain is likely to fall as the front approaches. After the cold front passes, we see colder temperatures and more sunshine. We are going to see that this week as a front approaches by around November 19. The rainfall in this front is likely to be enhanced by rain from the remains of Tropical Storm Sara, which will get sucked into the front as it moves out of the Gulf as a disorganized mass of moisture. Following the passage of the front, we can expect to see colder air move into the region, especially northern Georgia and Alabama and western North Carolina and Virginia, and we could see frost or a freeze during the nights of November 21-23. The map of early morning temperatures for November 22 is shown below; that is likely to be the coldest night of the three.
In the next week we will see another round of warm air moving in followed by rain along the next front. That rain will be enhanced by moisture coming from the remains of TS Sara, which is currently drifting westward near the coast of Honduras. Sara is expected to weaken over the Yucatan Peninsula before emerging back into the Gulf, but it is not expected to restrengthen to any significant degree and the mass of moisture associated with Sara will get pulled into the next front. After that front passes, another blast of cold air is expected about a week after the last one. Temperatures from that cold outbreak may bring freezing temperature down central Georgia and Alabama but will more likely not make it south of that. If you are in South Georgia you probably won’t get down to freezing until sometime in December. These maps will likely change over time due to updated weather data and new model results, so keep watching your local forecasts for the latest conditions.
