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Hurricane Rafael has crossed over western Cuba and entered the Gulf of Mexico, but is tracking westward across the Gulf into areas that are less favorable for supporting the storm. Rafael is not expected to affect us in the Southeast other than its push of moisture into the region associated with this week’s heavy rainfall.…
Posted in: Tropical weather -
The latest Drought Monitor, released today, shows that abnormally dry conditions have expanded to cover nearly all of the Southeast except the Florida peninsula this week due to the continued lack of rain through Tuesday, the cutoff period for the latest map. Drought conditions got worse in Alabama as well. Next week we may see…
Posted in: Drought -
A heavy rain event may occur in central Georgia on Wednesday and Thursday as moisture flows into the area from the circulation around Tropical Storm (and likely Hurricane) Rafael and interacts with a cold front there. Up to a foot of rain may occur in some isolated locations. While Georgia desperately needs the rain due…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
The long-lasting area of interest in the western Caribbean has finally developed into Tropical Storm Rafael. It is expected to continue to develop slowly and may become a hurricane in the next day as it approaches the Cayman Islands and western Cuba. After that, it is expected to move NW into the Gulf of Mexico,…
Posted in: Tropical weather -
The latest monthly climate summary for North Carolina is now available from the NC State Climate Office. You can read about how dry it was in October compared to the floods in September at https://climate.ncsu.edu/blog/2024/11/october-dries-out-in-a-monthly-rainfall-reversal/.
Posted in: Climate summaries -
The latest 7-day QPF map shows that this weekend will be dry but rain chances pick up in midweek and increase further by the end of the week. The amounts of rain we get are not expected to be large but will be welcome nonetheless. The amounts will be affected by the tropical activity that…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
It might be almost November, but the tropics are not done for the season just yet. The National Hurricane Center’s latest 7-day outlook map shows three areas of interest, including one area in the western Caribbean that has a 60% of development in the next week. Fortunately, this time of year is less nurturing for…
Posted in: Tropical weather