Tropical weather
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The latest prediction for TS Bret is that it is expected to continue to move east and is no longer expected to reach hurricane status due to strong wind shear that is already tilting the circulation and weakening it. Most likely it will fizzle somewhere over the Caribbean but could bring some heavy rain and…
Posted in: Tropical weather -
Tonight the National Hurricane Center officially declared Bret as a tropical storm. The forecast cone shows that Bret is expected to continue west and gradually strengthen to a hurricane until it gets into the Caribbean. At that point, wind shear is likely to weaken Bret back to a tropical storm. The computer models have a…
Posted in: Tropical weather -
Today the National Hurricane Center posted a 7-day outlook that shows a wave that recently came off of Africa has a 70 percent chance of developing in the next seven days. This is quite a bit earlier than usual, but since water temperatures are much warmer than usual there is plenty of energy for a…
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If you are interested in following discussions about the tropics during hurricane season, you might be interested in subscribing to The Eyewall, a daily newsletter that provides daily commentary on what is going on (or not going on) in the Atlantic in regard to developing tropical weather. You can view it and subscribe if you…
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This afternoon the disturbance in the Gulf of Mexico reached tropical storm status and was named Arlene. The path of Arlene continues to show a southward drift, but it is expected to curve to the northeast over the open water between Florida and Cuba before skirting the southeast Florida coast and head out to sea.…
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What do you do to prepare for hurricane season? Do you take an inventory of your belongings? Purchase flood insurance? Plan where to evacuate in case the storm comes right over your location? If you are like many Floridians, according to a recent AAA poll, you do none of the above. In fact, you probably…
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The disturbance in the Gulf of Mexico today organized enough to be called Tropical Depression 2, but winds are not yet strong enough for it to be a named storm. If you live in the Florida Panhandle, southern Alabama or SW Georgia, you might have seen some high clouds from the storm’s circulation today. If…
Posted in: Tropical weather