Tropical weather
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The latest 7-day outlook for the Atlantic Ocean basin today shows that there are two potential areas for tropical storm development in waves that have recently come off of Africa or are about to move over the ocean. Neither of these will develop in the next couple of days but both have the potential to…
Posted in: Tropical weather -
The latest Atlantic tropical storm outlook shows that there is a moderate chance of storm development in the next week in the central Atlantic. However, the models are currently showing that the center is likely to move north before it reaches North America, so it is likely no threat to us even if it does…
Posted in: Tropical weather -
The National Hurricane Center is showing three areas of potential tropical development today, although none of them have more than a 20 percent chance of developing into a named storm in the next week. The one labeled as Investigation 95 (shown on the map as the X with just a tiny circle of development off…
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Politico has an interesting story this week about how many people in southwestern Florida have been priced out of rebuilding their homes lost to Hurricane Ian last year. The regulations in Florida require that if a house is destroyed, it has to be rebuilt to current safety standards, which is often much more expensive than…
Posted in: Tropical weather -
Earlier this weekend Subtropical Storm Don formed in the central Atlantic far from land and between Bermuda and the Azores. Don is not expected to make landfall but will slowly curve around. It will decrease to a depression but could slightlu restrengthen to a storm again later this week.
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Anyone who is worried about the potential for rapid development of tropical storms coming onshore in the Southeast should be very concerned about the current incredibly high sea surface temperatures in the Gulf of Mexico this week. The map below shows that parts of the Gulf have temperatures above 90 F (32 C in this…
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CSU released its third forecast for the 2023 Atlantic hurricane season on Thursday, 6 July. In it,they increased the expected number of storms and now call for an above-average Atlantic basin hurricane season in 2023, although they noted that uncertainty with this outlook is larger than normal. From their press release: While we continue to…