Tropical weather
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The latest tropical outlook from the National Hurricane Center shows Potential Tropical Cyclone 1 strengthening in the SW Gulf of Mexico. It is expected to continue to strengthen into TS Alberto before it makes landfall on Mexico. It won’t affect us in the Southeast but could bring a lot of rain to southern Texas. There…
Posted in: Tropical weather -
The National Hurricane Center is currently watching two areas of concern for tropical development later this week. While neither is a big concern for a hurricane, both have some potential for a tropical storm. The 70% area (in red) in the southern Bay of Campeche has the best chance of development but the circulation around…
Posted in: Tropical weather -
I am traveling this week but wanted to let you know that the National Hurricane Center is now showing two areas of potential development in the Gulf of Mexico in the next week. The first, designated as Investigation 90-L, is in the Eastern Gulf near Florida and is associated with the plume of moisture that…
Posted in: Tropical weather -
One question I get asked every hurricane season is where we expect the storms to move this year. It’s not an easy question to answer because it depends on both large-scale weather patterns like the position of the Bermuda high and short-term weather systems like the current jet stream and frontal pattern, since those help…
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The North Carolina State Climate Office recently offered a webinar that provided an outlook for the 2024 hurricane season. They also posted a lot of the information in their latest blog post along with a link to the webinar recording. While some of their information is NC-specific, a lot is generally true for the Southeast…
Posted in: Tropical weather -
NOAA released their seasonal forecast for the Atlantic tropical season today. As expected, it shows that a very active season is expected, with 17 to 25 named storms expected and 8-13 hurricanes likely. This matches the forecast by Colorado State issued a few weeks ago. You can read the NOAA press release at https://www.noaa.gov/news-release/noaa-predicts-above-normal-2024-atlantic-hurricane-season. Hurricane…
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As hurricane season approaches, many of you may be wondering how tropical storms and hurricanes form and what factors are important in determining when and where they develop as well as how they move. Here are a couple of articles that give good descriptions of how hurricanes form listed below. I have also included a…