El Nino and La Nina
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As climatologists continue to watch the eastern Pacific Ocean, cool waters there have provided more fuel to the idea that El Niño is all but gone. Here are three more blog posts which discuss the demise of El Niño and what might come next, from opposite ends of the country. The State Climate Office of…
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As the El Niño continues to weaken, colder than normal water is starting to emerge in the eastern Pacific Ocean where unusually warm water previously resided. This is a sign that the El Niño will soon be gone, although the process for declaring it ended usually takes several months to make sure that the event…
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The Australian Bureau of Meteorology was the first government agency to announce the arrival of the strong El Niño which has affected global climate this past winter. Now they have declared that the El Niño is over due to their observations of declining ocean temperatures in the eastern Pacific Ocean, where the signal is strongest.…
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NOAA released their latest seasonal outlooks this week. You can find them all at https://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/seasonal.php?lead=13. A sampling of them are shown below. They indicate that El Niño impacts are still likely for the next few months. In summer a band of above-normal precipitation is most likely related to the more active tropical season we are likely…
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In a previous post I noted some of the areas of the world that were feeling the effect of El Niño in contributing to regional droughts. Today I highlight the impact of heavy rains (also affected by El Niño) that are hurting the harvest of crops around the world. According to AgWeb here, “Argentina, the top…
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Early forecasts for the 2016 Atlantic tropical season are starting to come out, and so far all of them predict that the tropical season this year will be more active than usual. El Niño acted as a brake last year and the hurricane season was relatively quiet, but with El Niño going away and most…
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NOAA’s latest El Niño blog post indicates that not only are we still in a strong El Niño but that they have also issued a La Niña watch for the next few months. I’ve been talking about the possibility of swinging from one extreme to the other in the past few months, and now it…