El Nino and La Nina
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The latest ENSO forecast, released today, shows that La Nina is still expected to be officially declared soon but the likelihood has gone down a bit because it is taking so long to develop. When (or if) it does occur, it is likely to be a weak and short-lived one. The strongest impacts in a…
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According to the latest Climate Prediction Center alert on October 10, La Niña is favored to emerge in September-November (60% chance) and is expected to persist through January-March 2025. The upcoming La Nina is expected to be weak and short based on computer forecasts, this means that the strongest impacts are likely to occur in…
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If you have been following the ENSO forecasts, you already know that we were in an El Nino last winter and that we are currently in neutral conditions headed for a La Nina later this year. NOAA released their latest monthly and seasonal forecasts today, and they show the very typical pattern of temperature and…
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The latest ENSO prediction from NOAA, issued September 12, shows that we are still in a La Nina watch, with La Nina expected to be officially declared in the September through November time frame. It is expected to be a weak one that will last through the January-March 2025 period. A weak La Nina has…
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Here is a new term for me. I have not heard of the term “Atlantic Niña” before. But according to NOAA’s ENSO blog, an Atlantic Niña is similar to a Pacific La Niña in that it brings colder than normal ocean water to the surface of the eastern Atlantic. NOAA is expecting one to form…
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The latest ENSO forecast from NOAA, released earlier this week, shows that while near-normal ocean temperatures are currently present in the Eastern Pacific Ocean, they are expecting a La Nina to develop by the September through November period and last through the winter. Most of the forecasts currently show that they are expecting only a…
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This week NOAA announced the end of the latest El Nino event, as ocean conditions in the Eastern Pacific Ocean returned to normal temperatures as they swing from unusually warm conditions (associated with the El Nino) to colder than normal temperatures associated with La Nina. Their forecast indicates that we will probably be in La…
Posted in: El Nino and La Nina