Climate outlooks
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On August 3, Hurricane Isaias made landfall near Wilmington NC just before midnight. This is the earliest “I” storm we have ever observed, which shows you how active the Atlantic hurricane season has been so far this year. Climatologically, we are not even near the peak of hurricane season yet—that usually comes between mid-August and…
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The latest 7-day QPF map shows the strong influence of Hurricane Isaias and its rain for the next 3-4 days along the East Coast. Areas near the center of the circulation could see several inches of rain, while areas to the west of it are likely to remain dry. The accuracy of this week’s map…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center released their revised prediction for August 2020. It shows that warmer than normal weather is most likely to occur in Florida and along the East Coast. Wetter than normal conditions are expected to occur along the East Coast, but that prediction is mostly tied to the expected path of Hurricane Isaias…
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The latest forecast for TS Isaias, issued at 11 pm on July 30, 2020, shows that as the storm passed Hispaniola, the center of the storm reorganized to the north over water. Its path over the next few days should keep it mostly over water, so it is now expected to become a Category 1…
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As of 11 pm on July 29, 2020, Tropical Storm Isaias formed in the Caribbean Sea. It is the earliest “I” storm ever (remember Irma in 2017 made landfall in SW Florida on September 10). It is a disorganized storm, which makes its track and strength harder to predict. It is also expected to interact…
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NOAA’s National Hurricane Center has just started issuing advisories on Potential Tropical Storm 9, which is expected to become TS Isaias (pronounced ees-ah-EE-ahs) in the next couple of days. Currently the Florida Peninsula is in the 5-day cone for the storm, so it could progress into Georgia by early next week. Forecasts of both intensity…
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The latest 7-day QPF forecast (that’s Quantitative Precipitation Forecast) for the Southeast shows that most areas should receive at least an inch of rain in the next week, thanks to a continuation of the summertime pattern of daily thunderstorms. The driest areas are expected to be northern Virginia (which really needs the rain) and a…
Posted in: Climate outlooks