Climate outlooks
-
The latest 7-day QPF map shows that most areas of the Southeast should receive rain this week. The driest area is expected to be upstate South Carolina, with wetter conditions in southern Florida, western Alabama, and northern Virginia. The wettest area of the country continues to be a band through eastern Oklahoma to the Ohio…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
The latest edition of the El Niño outlook was published this week. It shows that El Niño is well entrenched in the central Pacific, with cooler conditions in the eastern Pacific due a temporary Kelvin wave. Virtually every statistical and dynamical model predicts that this El Niño will continue for the next few months, potentially…
-
The latest 7-day QPF map shows that only light rain can be expected in most of the Southeast in the next week. After a dry weekend, rain chances improve slightly during the week. The wettest areas will be the interior of the Florida peninsula and the mountainous areas of Georgia and the Carolinas. The pattern…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
The Climate Prediction Center released an updated outlook for June 2019 this afternoon. It shows that all of Florida and parts of the rest of the region lean towards warmer than normal temperatures. There is no indication of whether June will be wetter or drier than normal at this point, leading to “equal chances” of…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
The latest 7-day QPF for the Southeast shows that no rain at all is expected in Alabama, most of Florida, and Georgia as strong high pressure continues to dominate the region. Some light amounts of rain are expected in South Carolina and more rain is expected in North Carolina and Virginia. Because of the complete…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
As expected, NOAA’s forecast for the upcoming 2019 tropical season in the Atlantic Ocean basin shows that they think that the season should have close to an average number of tropical storms and hurricanes in the region. This is based on several indicators, including the current weak status of El Niño. You can read the…
-
The latest forecast for the North Atlantic Ocean was released today by the U. K. Met Office. It says that they expect a total number of named storms of 13, just slightly above the long-term average of 12 storms. NOAA will be releasing its own forecast soon, and I don’t expect it to be much…