Climate outlooks
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This morning Delta became a tropical storm, but by this evening it was already a hurricane due to rapid pressure falls in the center of circulation. The latest forecast now indicates that Delta is likely to be a major hurricane as it crosses the Gulf of Mexico, although it is expected to weaken before it…
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After another lull in the tropics, activity has picked up again. Currently, Tropical Storm Gamma is located in the southern Gulf of Mexico bringing heavy rain and some gusty winds to the Yucatan Peninsula. It is expected to wander around that region for the next few days, but the initial impacts on the Southeast are…
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The latest 7-day QPF map shows that Florida should receive the bulk of the rain this week as the tropics continue to be active. They will see showers from the outskirts of Tropical Storm Gamma and other rain-makers which should stay off the coast of the rest of the Southeast. Those of us who are…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center released their updated outlook for October this week. It shows that most of the Southeast is now leaning towards cooler and drier conditions than normal. The Florida peninsula is the only area that is expected to be warmer and wetter than normal. This is weighted mainly towards the first half of…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
The Atlantic is quiet now, with no named storms in existence and nothing immediately threatening on the horizon. However, the 5-day outlook does show an area in the Caribbean that has a 20% chance of developing in the next five days. The models indicate that it could become a tropical storm by the end of…
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A strong cold front will move through the region early next week, bringing some rain and much cooler temperatures to the area after the front passes. The end of the week should be dry for most areas as the colder air settles into place. The coolest mornings are expected to be Friday October 2 and…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
With a La Nina advisory in effect, that means we can expect to see several months of La Nina conditions across the Southeast, although the strength of the signal will depend on how strong and how long the La Nina is. Here is a good general discussion on the likely climate effects from Kirk Mellish…