Climate outlooks
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September 1 marks the start of climatological fall for atmospheric scientists like me. As I write this article (for the Peanut Pointers newsletter) on September 2, the tropics are active, with two named storms (Nana and Omar) and two more areas that could develop in the next week. Tropical activity is part of autumn in…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
During the day today two new tropical storms formed. TS Nana formed in the Caribbean and is headed straight west towards Central American and the Yucutan, where it could drop quite a bit of rain. If it is strong enough, it could jump over into the Pacific. TS Omar formed a few hours later off…
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The latest monthly outlook for September 2020 shows that an outbreak of cold air is expected to move into the central US during the first two weeks of September and could bring cooler temperatures as far south as Georgia and Alabama, especially in the northern parts of those states. The Florida peninsula is expected to…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
The latest 5-day outlook from the National Hurricane Center for the Atlantic shows several areas of interest, including two areas that have a high probability of tropical storm formation. One is off the East Coast of the US and is coming from a Gulf low that is passing over the Southeast and is expected to…
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The latest 7-day QPF forecast shows that intermittent showers are expected to occur on and off all week, with the driest period likely to be mid-week and the driest areas away from the mountains and the coasts. Today parts of the Southeast are feeling the effects of remnant tropical depression Laura as it passes through…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
As TS Laura continues its path through the US and turns towards the east over the next couple of days, the Southeast will continue to be in the right front quadrant of the storm. That means that there will be ample fuel for rain showers and some potential isolated severe weather as Laura moves through…
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Late Wednesday evening or early Thursday morning Hurricane Laura is expected to make landfall as a major hurricane somewhere near the Texas-Louisiana border. The models still show some variation in path, and it could got a little farther west to Galveston-Houston, so the barrier islands there are being evacuated as a precaution along with many…