Climate outlooks

  • The latest 7-day QPF map shows another very dry week, which continues the streak of dry conditions along with well above normal temperatures.  Almost no rain is expected to fall, although there may be some scattered showers in some places and at some times to give some temporary relief. By next weekend, a change in…

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  • The latest monthly and seasonal outlooks were released by NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center earlier this week. They lean towards warmer than normal temperatures for both October and the October-December period across the region. This is based on long-term warming trends along with the neutral ENSO conditions we are currently in. For precipitation, there is a…

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  • No rain in sight

    Unless you live in southern Florida, you are unlikely to see any rain at all for at least the next week according to the latest 7-day QPF map. This is bad, because coupled with the well-above-normal temperatures, moisture stress is going to cause problems for ripening crops and will make it hard to start fall…

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  • The latest Drought Monitor, released this morning, shows that abnormally dry conditions and moderate drought expanded across the region this week. This was expected with little rain and above-normal temperatures that are still in the mid- to upper 90s in many areas. Unfortunately, the next seven days should see almost no rain in the region…

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  • The National Weather Service Southeast River Forecast Center has released their latest Water Resources Outlook video on YouTube today. Learn more about current conditions and the outlook for the next few months. You can view it at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qwq70oL17b0&feature=youtu.be.

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  • Dry week ahead

    With the development and movement of TS Humberto to the northeast, nearly all of the Southeast will be free of rain this week. The only exceptions are the mountains and the areas immediately next to the coast or in southern Florida. The dry conditions are likely to increase drought conditions in the coming week. However,…

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  • A Potential Tropical Cyclone notification has been issued by the National Hurricane Center for the likely development of a tropical storm (most likely named Humberto, the next name on the list) in the next day or two. The models have been all over the place with this because it has been such a disorganized system,…

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