Climate outlooks
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The latest forecast for La Nina by Columbia University’s IRI group shows that this month neutral conditions just barely edge out La Nina conditions 51 to 49 percent, but for the months after that, La Nina conditions are expected to dominate the probabilities until spring. A La Nina winter usually means warmer and drier conditions…
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The latest 7-day QPF map shows that chances of rain continue almost every day for the next week. The driest areas will be in Alabama and Georgia, but even those area will see some occasional showers. Farther east, rain chances will be more frequent and heavy. Late in the week rain amounts are likely to…
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The tenth named storm of 2020, Josephine has formed in the central Atlantic Ocean and is expected to chug along at tropical storm force for the next few days before slowly dying into a tropical depression. The forecast path of Josephine keeps it well offshore so no impacts are expected in the Southeast. You can…
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There is scattered rain in the forecast every day this week, but the total amounts predicted for the week, ranging from less than half an inch along Florida’s East Coast to about 1.5 inches in eastern Virginia, will be barely enough to keep up with water demands from many of the Southeast’s crops. Many crops…
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The seasonal hurricane forecasting group at Colorado State University released a revised forecast for the number of tropical storms, hurricanes and major hurricanes in the Atlantic Basin today. It’s not a big surprised that the numbers have gone up considering how active this year has already been. Their new forecast shows us as getting an…
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On August 3, Hurricane Isaias made landfall near Wilmington NC just before midnight. This is the earliest “I” storm we have ever observed, which shows you how active the Atlantic hurricane season has been so far this year. Climatologically, we are not even near the peak of hurricane season yet—that usually comes between mid-August and…
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The latest 7-day QPF map shows the strong influence of Hurricane Isaias and its rain for the next 3-4 days along the East Coast. Areas near the center of the circulation could see several inches of rain, while areas to the west of it are likely to remain dry. The accuracy of this week’s map…
Posted in: Climate outlooks