Climate outlooks
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While we had an early start to the growing season, it was followed by colder conditions in March that slowed things down quite a bit. Since that time, we have seen periods of very warm weather alternating with much cooler conditions. I know it’s been frustrating for farmers as soil temperatures rise and fall, making…
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While the front that is moving through the Southeast today will temporarily bring drier weather to the region, most of this week will return to rainy conditions by mid-week. The driest areas will be Virginia and North Carolina with the wetter areas in the southern part of the region. Cooler temperatures will accompany the rain,…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center issued its latest seasonal forecast for the US today. It shows that for both May and the May through July period, warmer and wetter conditions than normal are statistically most likely for most of the Southeast. This means that the drought conditions which have been increasing in Florida and Virginia are…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
This is the time of year when predictions of how active the Atlantic tropical season is likely to be start popping up in the news. Here is a story from Growing Produce that describes the probabilities of different coasts being hit as well as what years are considered the best analogs to this coming season.…
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This past week, hurricane forecasters at Colorado State University released their preliminary forecast for the number of tropical storms and hurricanes expected to form in the Atlantic basin this season. They predict a total of 13 tropical storms will form, of which six will become hurricanes. A tropical storm becomes a hurricane when its sustained…
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The latest 7-day QPF map shows that relatively light rainfall will cover most of the region in the next week in advance of the next big storm to move through. There will be some showers in the next few days followed by dry conditions mid-week. Rain will start to move into the region by late…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
The latest ENSO discussion was released by NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center today. It indicates that our neutral conditions are already swinging towards the next El Nino and that it may be present as soon as the May through July period. We need to keep in mind that spring forecasts are generally less accurate than forecasts…