Climate outlooks

  • The rain this week should be fairly moderate across the region, but the highest amounts are likely to fall in Virginia and North Carolina where drought has been slowly expanding. This should help halt or reverse that trend. The heaviest rains will fall over the next few days, with drier conditions mid-week before some showers…

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  • The latest 7 day QPF map shows another wet week is ahead for nearly all of the region. While this weekend will be dry in the north, rain will return to the area for most days this week. The driest area will be Virginia, where drought has been expanding as most rain falls farther south…

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  • NOAA released their monthly and seasonal outlooks for temperature and precipitation today. The outlooks show that the temperature for both July and the July-September period is leaning towards warmer than normal conditions. This is most likely linked to the trend towards warmer temperatures we have seen over the last 50 years due to a warming…

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  • The latest 7-day QPF map shows that most of the region can expect a lot more rain this week. This is a good thing for farmers whose crops need moisture this week. Rain should start on Sunday and there are likely to be several rain events over the next few days. The driest areas will…

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  • Today NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center announced that El Niño is here and is expected to get stronger over the next few months. It is expected to last into at least spring 2024, which is as far ahead as the predictions show in their graphics. The ocean temperatures have been in place for a while already,…

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  • The forecast for rain this week is for less than half an inch for most of the region, and none at all for parts of North and South Carolina and Virginia. The only exception is the far southeastern part of Florida, which will continue to see rain from the remains of TS Arlene, which was…

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  • The updated monthly climate outlook for June 2023 was released earlier this week by NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center. The maps show that for almost all of the region there is no lean towards warmer or colder and wetter or drier conditions this month. That means we have equal chances of near, above, and below normal…

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