Climate outlooks

  • The latest 7-day rainfall forecast shows that most of the region will receive scattered showers and thunderstorms for the first few days of the week with dry conditions returning late in the week. Alabama is expected to be dry all week, while areas in the Southern Appalachians and in Florida are most likely to see…

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  • After the excitement of Hurricane Idalia this past week, we can look forward to a much quieter week ahead. This weekend will be nearly perfect, with cooler temperatures and less humidity, before both start to rise again during the week. There is no rain at all expected for most of the region for the next…

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  • The latest outlook for September 2023 was released today. It shows that September is leaning towards warmer than normal temperatures, a continuation of the long-term rising temperature trend. It is more likely to be hotter than normal in the center of the US, though, as another strong high sets up there. There is no signal…

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  • The amount and timing of rain we get this week depends largely on the track and speed of likely Tropical Storm Idalia, which is gathering strength today near the Yucutan Peninsula and the west coast of Cuba. It is not yet a tropical storm but is expected to be declared one in the next day…

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  • The latest 7-day precipitation outlook for the Southeast shows that most areas of the region other than Florida will get little to no rain in the next week. Most shower activity that occurs will be late in the week. This is due to a big area of high pressure that will dominate the weather pattern…

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  • The latest 7-day QPF map shown below indicates that while most of the Southeast will get some rain, amounts in areas north of the Fall Line will be quite light. The highest chance of rain in Alabama and northern Georgia this week will be today, Saturday, and then will diminish to near nothing by Monday.…

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  • NOAA released their August update on the prediction of the number of Atlantic tropical storms in 2023 this week. It shows an increase in the expected number of storms over their earlier May prediction. The probability of an above-normal season has increased from 30% to 60%. This is due in large part to the continued…

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