Climate outlooks
-
NOAA released the latest ENSO update this morning. It continues to show that the current El Nino is purring along as expected and has an 80% chance of continuing through spring. You can read more about it in the latest ENSO blog at October 2023 El Niño update: big cats | NOAA Climate.gov or look…
-
After almost no rain at my house for most of the last month, I got a measly 0.03 inches in the gauge this morning. But good news! Those of us who have been lacking in moisture for the last few weeks will be happy to hear that rain has reappeared in the forecast for all…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
On Friday, October 6, the first big cold front of fall will push through a lot of the Southeast, bringing much cooler and drier conditions to the region. It will be a fairly dry front, though, so not much relief from the dry conditions we have been experiencing the past few weeks. Since we are…
-
The latest 7-day QPF map shows that a large part of the Southeast will see only light showers this week, with the usual exception of Florida, as high pressure continues to dominate the area. Rain could occur over the Florida Peninsula over the next few days and light showers could occur in Alabama, N GA,…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
The latest outlook from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center shows that the moderate El Nino that is currently underway is having an impact on the predicted late fall climate patterns especially in precipitation. The temperature outlook is a compromise between cooler than normal conditions we would expect from El Nino and warmer than normal conditions expected…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
Tropical Storm Ophelia formed over the last few days and made landfall along the coast of NC this morning. It is moving north and bringing windy conditions and heavy rain to a lot of eastern North Carolina and Virginia. It will be moving out to the northeast over the next couple of days before it…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
The latest El Nino outlook, issued last week, shows that we are currently in an El Nino and that it is likely to continue through spring before transitioning to neutral conditions. The forecasts give it a 71% chance of being a strong El Nino, but that does not necessarily translate to strong impacts. Having said…