Climate outlooks
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In the monthly webinar for the Appalachicola-Chattahoochee-Flint river basin today, we heard from El Nino expert Klaus Wolter on his prediction for the coming winter. Based on his study of analog years similar to this one and other indicators, Dr. Wolter believes that an El Nino may already be underway based on conditions in India,…
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
The latest 7-day QPF map from NOAA shows that most of the Southeast should be well above normal in rainfall for the next week. The rain will be a mixed blessing for farmers, who will welcome the relief for soil moisture but may hinder hay-making and harvesting of peanuts and other crops.
Posted in: Climate outlooks -
Investigation 92 from the National Hurricane Center is now moving westward across the Florida Peninsula. The graphic below shows the nice flow around the center of the disturbance. You can see the original with moving wind in real time by clicking here. Note that this will show a current view so if you look at…
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The National Hurricane Center has started issuing advisories on the old Investigation 91 in the far eastern Atlantic Ocean, now identified as a tropical depression with a closed center. This system is not expected to make landfall. Investigation 92 is still east of Florida and moving west, but so far has not developed to the…
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Currently there are two active areas of investigation out in the Atlantic Ocean. Investigation 91 is far out in the eastern Atlantic Ocean and the predicted movement of this system will keep it well away from the Southeast. Investigation 92 is east of the Florida coast and is expected to move westward over time, possibly…
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Keith Carson wrote an entertaining article on his blog about seasonal forecasts. You can read it here. After a satire site printed a map showing an outlook for a very cold winter in the East that went viral, meteorologists spent a lot of time shooting down the “made-up” forecast. Keith talks about this and how…
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The State Climate Office of North Carolina has just posted their summer summary along with an outlook for fall. You can read it at https://nc-climate.ncsu.edu/climateblog?id=98&h=37a460a0. They include an outlook for fall colors, so if you are traveling to the area, you might want to take a peek.